NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	8.3 [232]		MVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): +35.4%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	3.3 [293]		LVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): -19.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	5	86%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Larry Hughes	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.02	0.13	-0.01	16	55%	0.24	4	-0.09	12	100%	0.13
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	8	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	7	43%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	20	40%	-0.09	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.35	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	16	62%	0.35	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.26	0.26	0.00	0.25	-0.01	10	48%	0.33	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.06
Gerald Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	18	60%	0.17	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	63%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Allan Ray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.01	14	53%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	6	33%	-0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.5	31.3	16.4	26.4	2.5	35.4	137.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +49.8%

BOS +12.9%

CLE -2.5%

CLE -13.9%

BOS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	15.4	99.0	102.1	104.5
season	16.0	15.5		103.2	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.6		105.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	14.2	15.2	15.4	15.0
BOS	14.4	15.2	14.1	15.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	37	35	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.16	10	-12	22	15.1	14.9	0.18	15.2	14.7	0.47
Donyell Marshall	13	13	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-9	16	12.5	15.4	-2.90	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Scot Pollard	21	22	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-8	14	15.2	14.9	0.34	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Eric Snow	57	57	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.23	9	-11	20	13.9	16.5	-2.56	14.6	15.3	-0.77
Anderson Varejao	60	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.49	15	-17	32	14.7	15.4	-0.75	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Shannon Brown	14	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.13	-9	7	-16	18.1	14.4	3.71	16.3	14.6	1.65
Damon Jones	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.40	8	-10	18	15.1	14.9	0.20	15.2	14.7	0.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	8	-18	15.5	14.4	1.05	15.5	14.2	1.25
Sasha Pavlovic	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	4	-10	15.0	15.0	-0.04	15.2	13.6	1.61
Drew Gooden	50	49	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.09	-22	20	-42	15.3	14.6	0.77	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Larry Hughes	83	80	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.43	-18	16	-34	15.1	14.4	0.72	14.2	18.0	-3.75

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	68	69	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.29	21	-19	40	14.6	15.6	-1.03	15.5	13.6	1.96
Al Jefferson	78	77	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.23	21	-19	40	14.6	16.0	-1.38	15.9	11.5	4.37
Gerald Green	83	83	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-9	20	14.8	15.1	-0.23	15.0	14.6	0.38
Ryan Gomes	67	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.70	-3	5	-8	15.2	14.1	1.06	14.2	16.9	-2.65
Rajon Rondo	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.23	20	-18	38	14.4	16.2	-1.75	15.7	13.3	2.37
Delonte West	51	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.50	-14	16	-30	15.3	14.4	0.98	14.7	15.3	-0.68
Allan Ray	20	22	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.22	-18	20	-38	15.2	14.8	0.41	12.5	15.7	-3.13
Leon Powe	25	25	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.11	-15	17	-32	14.8	14.9	-0.10	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Sebastian Telfair	18	19	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.00	-13	15	-28	16.4	14.5	1.86	14.7	15.0	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.87,0.75,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.67,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.84,0.85,0.58,1	90.6%
CHA 89, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.15,1	90.3%
GSW 105, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.74,1	90.2%