NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	89		Excitement	10.1 [70]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +74.7%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	10.2 [183]		LVP	Dan Dickau (BOS): -24.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.16,0.16	0.01	0.15	-0.01	14	53%	0.27	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.04
Keith Bogans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.07	-0.00	16	39%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Sean May	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	14	42%	0.00	2	-0.12	3	33%	-0.05
Primoz Brezec	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	3	20%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17	0.04	-0.19	0.01	13	61%	0.04	2	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.05,-0.03,0.75	0.75	0.08	0.67	0.00	21	56%	0.82	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	13	71%	0.15	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	54%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.14	-0.02	23	48%	-0.06	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Orien Greene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.15	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	1.8	32.3	16.3	25.1	1.8	38.2	147.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.6%

BOS +5.7%

CHA -2.4%

BOS +14.9%

CHA -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	16.5	14.2	15.6	94.7	95.7	104.4
season	14.8	14.8		100.5	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		104.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.5	15.9	18.3	15.1	16.5
BOS	12.5	16.1	12.7	15.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	31	32	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.07	9	-10	19	17.9	15.7	2.19	14.8	13.9	0.93
Melvin Ely	31	31	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.06	7	-8	15	18.6	15.4	3.15	13.6	14.4	-0.83
Sean May	29	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-5	9	19.1	15.3	3.81	14.6	14.0	0.56
Keith Bogans	47	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-6	11	16.1	16.9	-0.77	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Primoz Brezec	41	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	12	-25	16.0	16.8	-0.87	13.2	15.0	-1.86
Gerald Wallace	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	2	-5	15.6	19.9	-4.29	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Kareem Rush	71	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	0	-1	16.3	17.1	-0.82	14.6	12.6	1.93
Emeka Okafor	76	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	3	-7	16.0	18.3	-2.31	14.6	12.4	2.15
Brevin Knight	69	67	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.57	-9	8	-17	15.9	17.9	-1.98	13.9	14.7	-0.80

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	73	74	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-9	19	14.1	14.5	-0.39	16.1	17.9	-1.82
Paul Pierce	69	69	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-10	21	14.2	14.1	0.12	15.6	18.8	-3.12
Brian Scalabrine	19	20	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.73	-4	5	-9	14.1	14.2	-0.08	17.3	16.2	1.06
Ricky Davis	84	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	0	1	14.4	12.4	1.98	16.7	14.6	2.09
Dan Dickau	51	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.52	-4	5	-9	14.3	14.0	0.27	17.4	15.3	2.09
Al Jefferson	24	26	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	-1	3	12.6	14.7	-2.13	17.5	16.1	1.37
Kendrick Perkins	51	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	-6	13	14.7	13.5	1.21	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Orien Greene	51	51	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.20	8	-7	15	14.4	13.9	0.57	15.4	17.7	-2.27
Ryan Gomes	7	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	8	-15	12.3	14.3	-2.04	19.7	16.2	3.51
Justin Reed	41	40	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	0.02	-19	20	-39	14.0	14.3	-0.39	16.9	16.2	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.27,1	90.8%
IND 119, NYK 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.9,0.8,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.26,1	90.8%
ATL 104, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.42,1	90.3%