inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 104 Excitement9.3 [101] MVPCarmelo Anthony (NYK): +52.5%
New York Knicks 106 Comeback3.5 [427] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -17.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.210.020.19-0.01862%0.272-0.065100%0.20
DeShawn Stevenson0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.170.030.007100%0.2000.001100%0.00
Al Horford0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.190.030.16-0.00889%0.315-0.1220%-0.03
Jeff Teague0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.010.031573%0.224-0.137100%0.07
Ivan Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.03-0.00567%0.081-0.022100%0.02
John Jenkins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01250%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Devin Harris-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00430%-0.011-0.04250%-0.02
Josh Smith-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.3,0.3,-0.170.05-0.22-0.001661%0.173-0.3510%-0.08

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.530.530.230.29-0.002871%0.774-0.253100%0.05
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.180.180.050.140.00969%0.293-0.11875%0.05
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.12,0.120.120.030.09-0.001553%0.151-0.03475%-0.00
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.003100%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02580%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jason Kidd00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.010.00150%-0.0000.0020%-0.04
James White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.01-0.080.01967%0.053-0.1300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.03.029.319.428.33.842.4153.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +17.5%
ATL -6.5%
NYK +23.5%
NYK +22.5%
ATL -6.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLNYKNBAATLNYKNBA
this game15.118.015.4119.5121.8104.1
season15.116.2102.6107.9
opponent15.515.5103.8102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.414.615.813.515.1
NYK14.918.118.520.818.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Harris39360.28-0.781.060.048-101815.514.80.6718.717.51.16
Kyle Korver7574-0.11-0.390.29-0.4612-142614.916.7-1.8018.614.83.78
John Jenkins89-0.11-0.390.270.06-64-1015.915.00.8415.718.3-2.59
Al Horford5962-0.12-0.380.26-0.4110-122214.716.0-1.3618.616.42.17
Ivan Johnson1919-0.21-0.290.090.03-86-1416.214.81.3316.818.3-1.47
Zaza Pachulia3230-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.08-97-1616.214.51.7016.218.9-2.73
Jannero Pargo1011-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.02-119-2016.115.01.1114.718.5-3.73
Jeff Teague6667-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.44-20-215.514.01.4117.918.2-0.34
DeShawn Stevenson5353-0.510.01-0.53-0.46-20-214.615.9-1.3118.916.62.35
Josh Smith7474-0.530.03-0.57-0.48-20-214.617.8-3.2117.819.2-1.46

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raymond Felton68690.480.020.460.51-13-418.117.70.3214.716.6-1.82
J.R. Smith66680.480.020.460.4802-217.818.6-0.7714.716.4-1.67
Tyson Chandler65640.440.060.390.305-3818.018.0-0.0215.214.90.33
Carmelo Anthony80810.340.160.180.46-46-1018.215.03.2514.720.8-6.14
Amar'e Stoudemire55530.300.200.100.33-13-418.017.90.1315.115.2-0.15
Kurt Thomas770.180.32-0.14-0.089-71615.018.2-3.2520.414.65.78
Steve Novak22230.080.42-0.340.11-13-418.317.90.4416.414.71.74
Iman Shumpert35360.070.43-0.350.19-46-1018.317.80.5014.415.6-1.24
James White760.050.45-0.400.0211022.117.64.5215.715.10.59
Jason Kidd10100.050.45-0.41-0.043-1416.018.2-2.2516.414.91.45
Pablo Prigioni19180.020.48-0.46-0.073-1417.718.1-0.3216.614.71.82
Ronnie Brewer100.010.49-0.480.0102-21.018.2-17.190.015.1-15.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 84, NJN 860.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.55,0.68,0.58,191.9%
SEA 85, DEN 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.57,0.42,190.8%
GSW 88, DET 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.48,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.53,190.7%