NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	9.3 [101]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +52.5%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	3.5 [427]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -17.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.21	0.02	0.19	-0.01	8	62%	0.27	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.20
DeShawn Stevenson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.03	0.00	7	100%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19	0.03	0.16	-0.00	8	89%	0.31	5	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Teague	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.03	15	73%	0.22	4	-0.13	7	100%	0.07
Ivan Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
John Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.3,0.3,-0.17	0.05	-0.22	-0.00	16	61%	0.17	3	-0.35	1	0%	-0.08

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.53	0.53	0.23	0.29	-0.00	28	71%	0.77	4	-0.25	3	100%	0.05
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.14	0.00	9	69%	0.29	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.05
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	15	53%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
James White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	9	67%	0.05	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.0	29.3	19.4	28.3	3.8	42.4	153.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +17.5%

ATL -6.5%

NYK +23.5%

NYK +22.5%

ATL -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	18.0	15.4	119.5	121.8	104.1
season	15.1	16.2		102.6	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.4	14.6	15.8	13.5	15.1
NYK	14.9	18.1	18.5	20.8	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	39	36	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.04	8	-10	18	15.5	14.8	0.67	18.7	17.5	1.16
Kyle Korver	75	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.46	12	-14	26	14.9	16.7	-1.80	18.6	14.8	3.78
John Jenkins	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	4	-10	15.9	15.0	0.84	15.7	18.3	-2.59
Al Horford	59	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.41	10	-12	22	14.7	16.0	-1.36	18.6	16.4	2.17
Ivan Johnson	19	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	6	-14	16.2	14.8	1.33	16.8	18.3	-1.47
Zaza Pachulia	32	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	7	-16	16.2	14.5	1.70	16.2	18.9	-2.73
Jannero Pargo	10	11	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	9	-20	16.1	15.0	1.11	14.7	18.5	-3.73
Jeff Teague	66	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	15.5	14.0	1.41	17.9	18.2	-0.34
DeShawn Stevenson	53	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.9	-1.31	18.9	16.6	2.35
Josh Smith	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.48	-2	0	-2	14.6	17.8	-3.21	17.8	19.2	-1.46

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	68	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.51	-1	3	-4	18.1	17.7	0.32	14.7	16.6	-1.82
J.R. Smith	66	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	2	-2	17.8	18.6	-0.77	14.7	16.4	-1.67
Tyson Chandler	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	-3	8	18.0	18.0	-0.02	15.2	14.9	0.33
Carmelo Anthony	80	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	6	-10	18.2	15.0	3.25	14.7	20.8	-6.14
Amar'e Stoudemire	55	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	3	-4	18.0	17.9	0.13	15.1	15.2	-0.15
Kurt Thomas	7	7	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-7	16	15.0	18.2	-3.25	20.4	14.6	5.78
Steve Novak	22	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	3	-4	18.3	17.9	0.44	16.4	14.7	1.74
Iman Shumpert	35	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	6	-10	18.3	17.8	0.50	14.4	15.6	-1.24
James White	7	6	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	22.1	17.6	4.52	15.7	15.1	0.59
Jason Kidd	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	-1	4	16.0	18.2	-2.25	16.4	14.9	1.45
Pablo Prigioni	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-1	4	17.7	18.1	-0.32	16.6	14.7	1.82
Ronnie Brewer	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	2	-2	1.0	18.2	-17.19	0.0	15.1	-15.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 84, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.55,0.68,0.58,1	91.9%
SEA 85, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.57,0.42,1	90.8%
GSW 88, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.48,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.53,1	90.7%