NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	85		Excitement	8.4 [176]		MVP	Juwan Howard (DEN): +9.7%
Denver Nuggets	88		Comeback	1.7 [283]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -39.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vin Baker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Brent Barry	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.14	8	100%	0.09
Desmond Mason	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	9	30%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	17	44%	-0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.4	-0.11	-0.30	-0.02	14	39%	-0.19	3	-0.20	3	67%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.11	-0.02	18	51%	0.16	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.17	-0.02	20	60%	0.09	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	11	18%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.33,-0.36	-0.36	-0.11	-0.25	-0.00	11	62%	-0.03	8	-0.33	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	24.2	15.5	25.6	1.6	35.1	126.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +66.5%

SEA -25.1%

DEN +25.2%

SEA -20.1%

DEN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DEN	NBA	SEA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.6	94.4	97.8	102.3
season	16.0	16.1		106.3	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.5	19.5	16.1	13.6	16.4
DEN	14.2	15.5	15.9	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	56	56	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-10	17	17.0	15.4	1.61	16.6	14.1	2.50
Jerome James	21	22	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-4	5	17.9	15.9	2.02	17.5	15.0	2.46
Shammond Williams	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-9	15	12.0	17.4	-5.44	17.5	15.2	2.32
Brent Barry	73	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-9	15	16.3	16.6	-0.29	16.3	12.7	3.52
Vin Baker	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	4	-11	17.7	15.6	2.16	13.7	16.7	-3.04
Randy Livingston	29	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	6	-15	18.6	15.3	3.24	13.5	16.6	-3.09
Rashard Lewis	83	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	2	-7	16.2	18.7	-2.56	15.8	14.1	1.67
Desmond Mason	69	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	1	-5	15.9	17.9	-2.02	15.0	17.5	-2.46
Gary Payton	69	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	7	-17	15.7	18.4	-2.70	15.3	16.9	-1.61

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	76	75	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-4	11	15.8	14.9	0.93	16.1	17.4	-1.25
George McCloud	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-3	9	15.5	16.9	-1.44	15.8	19.9	-4.11
Voshon Lenard	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.31	5	-2	7	16.0	14.8	1.18	17.0	14.6	2.38
Donnell Harvey	35	36	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	3	-3	14.9	16.1	-1.29	17.4	15.6	1.81
Juwan Howard	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	1	1	15.5	16.2	-0.71	16.3	16.7	-0.44
Zendon Hamilton	20	20	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.16	1	2	-1	16.2	15.5	0.71	16.7	16.3	0.44
Calbert Cheaney	72	72	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	3	-3	15.4	16.8	-1.42	15.9	18.0	-2.06
Tim Hardaway	17	16	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	1	1	15.3	15.7	-0.43	16.6	16.3	0.25
Carlos Arroyo	17	18	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	11	-19	17.7	15.2	2.54	16.5	16.3	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 119, NYK 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.9,0.8,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.26,1	92.3%
BOS 97, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.92,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.63,1	91.7%
TOR 89, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.72,1	91.6%