NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	97		Excitement	9.3 [107]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +28.7%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.9 [1050]		LVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): -28.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.29	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.29	0.08	0.22	0.01	17	69%	0.41	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	10	62%	0.19	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Jordan Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.09,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.09	-0.01	12	38%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	5	82%	0.11	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.07	0.00	2	67%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.19	0.03	-0.22	-0.00	16	62%	0.13	4	-0.32	2	50%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29	-0.12	-0.16	0.01	13	27%	-0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.13	0.01	14	71%	0.28	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.04
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.08	0.03	6	68%	0.18	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	17	45%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	0.00	18	49%	0.14	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	19	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.7	15.6	25.6	2.6	43.2	139.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -4.8%

GSW +9.1%

GSW +3.2%

GSW +38.8%

GSW +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	15.1	99.0	103.1	105.2
season	15.4	14.2		101.2	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		102.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	14.4	15.6	13.2	14.7
GSW	16.2	13.3	15.0	15.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-4	6	16.0	14.3	1.69	13.0	15.7	-2.72
Gerald Wallace	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	1	-4	14.6	14.8	-0.20	14.3	15.6	-1.25
Jerryd Bayless	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-1	0	14.3	14.9	-0.69	14.1	15.6	-1.54
Kris Humphries	72	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-4	6	14.5	15.2	-0.74	15.9	12.7	3.18
Jared Sullinger	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-8	14	14.2	15.7	-1.57	14.4	16.3	-1.83
Avery Bradley	74	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-7	12	14.1	16.5	-2.41	15.5	13.7	1.80
Jordan Crawford	67	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-2	2	15.2	13.6	1.52	15.3	14.4	0.94
Brandon Bass	35	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	12	-26	15.2	14.4	0.80	15.9	14.6	1.32
Jeff Green	73	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	5	-12	15.1	13.4	1.72	15.2	14.5	0.66

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	76	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-8	18	15.0	15.1	-0.11	15.1	13.2	1.89
Klay Thompson	82	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-6	14	15.0	15.3	-0.32	14.9	13.7	1.12
Stephen Curry	81	82	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	-3	8	15.3	13.7	1.59	14.4	16.0	-1.57
David Lee	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-7	16	15.3	14.3	1.02	14.9	14.2	0.71
Harrison Barnes	40	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.40	-8	10	-18	14.8	15.1	-0.28	13.4	15.7	-2.25
Andrew Bogut	57	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	-3	8	15.4	14.5	0.92	15.1	14.2	0.90
Marreese Speights	25	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	5	-8	14.9	15.0	-0.12	14.8	14.6	0.18
Draymond Green	39	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.37	-10	12	-22	14.3	15.5	-1.27	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Toney Douglas	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	8	-14	13.3	15.2	-1.91	16.0	14.5	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.92,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	92.0%
SEA 85, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.57,0.42,1	91.7%
TOR 89, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.72,1	91.3%