NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	8.2 [230]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): +35.0%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	1.9 [643]		LVP	Shawne Williams (LAL): -13.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.19	0.17	0.00	11	92%	0.39	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Xavier Henry	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.01	5	62%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Wesley Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	7	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.00	15	55%	0.19	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	5	83%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	11	65%	0.11	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.19	0.02	18	65%	0.37	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.05
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	0.00	15	67%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.09	0.02	22	60%	0.23	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	4	37%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	14	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	26.1	15.4	22.0	1.8	34.4	123.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -1.8%

WAS +2.4%

WAS +10.5%

WAS +40.8%

LAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	WAS	NBA	LAL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.2	15.1	115.6	119.6	105.2
season	14.0	15.1		102.9	103.8
opponent	15.5	14.8		102.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.2	13.8	15.4	15.5	15.7
WAS	13.1	16.2	12.9	14.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	57	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-3	1	15.6	15.9	-0.29	14.6	13.6	1.03
Xavier Henry	20	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-5	5	17.3	15.3	2.09	15.6	13.7	1.86
Pau Gasol	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-3	1	15.4	16.6	-1.17	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Shawne Williams	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-1	-3	16.0	15.5	0.45	13.3	14.8	-1.49
Jordan Farmar	52	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.42	6	-11	17	15.2	16.3	-1.19	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Wesley Johnson	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-2	-1	15.3	17.2	-1.91	14.9	11.7	3.20
Jordan Hill	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	2	-9	16.2	14.9	1.27	14.7	13.2	1.51
Nick Young	41	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-6	7	16.0	15.5	0.57	13.2	14.9	-1.78
Steve Blake	63	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.19	-14	9	-23	15.7	15.6	0.09	13.4	15.5	-2.07

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	86	85	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.38	12	-7	19	13.9	15.8	-1.88	16.1	12.5	3.56
Marcin Gortat	69	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-5	15	14.0	14.5	-0.44	16.8	13.0	3.81
John Wall	74	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-3	11	13.6	15.9	-2.25	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Nene	77	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	-2	9	14.4	13.2	1.20	15.1	17.9	-2.78
Garrett Temple	55	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.47	-5	10	-15	13.9	14.5	-0.53	15.1	16.4	-1.26
Trevor Ariza	66	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	2	1	14.4	13.6	0.80	15.5	16.2	-0.78
Eric Maynor	21	19	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	7	-9	15.6	13.7	1.87	16.3	15.6	0.70
Chris Singleton	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	18.5	14.1	4.44	5.5	15.9	-10.41
Jan Vesely	35	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	12	-19	14.3	14.1	0.16	15.6	15.8	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.72,1	93.2%
BOS 97, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.92,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.63,1	92.0%
IND 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.91,1	91.9%