NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	8.1 [233]		MVP	Chase Budinger (MIN): +55.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	1.5 [713]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -19.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.49	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.49	0.18	0.31	-0.00	17	74%	0.64	2	-0.15	5	100%	0.07
David West	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.01	16	53%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.01	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
D.J. Augustin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	12	42%	-0.06	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.55	0.55	0.13	0.42	0.00	6	82%	0.58	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.13	-0.00	8	58%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.17	0.00	10	50%	0.22	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	79%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	75%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Malcolm Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	43%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	12	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.6	26.3	15.8	30.0	1.7	36.0	132.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.6%

MIN +6.9%

IND -11.2%

MIN +9.8%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.4	102.2	106.7	104.1
season	16.1	15.6		102.4	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.5		103.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.5	17.7	16.2	13.8	16.5
MIN	14.2	15.7	14.4	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	27	27	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.15	-3	1	-4	15.9	16.7	-0.78	13.6	15.8	-2.18
Lance Stephenson	38	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-6	10	17.1	16.0	1.11	15.9	14.7	1.20
Sam Young	20	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	5	-12	19.1	15.7	3.41	14.5	15.3	-0.78
David West	71	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.43	8	-10	18	16.8	15.4	1.36	15.5	14.0	1.57
Roy Hibbert	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-2	2	17.7	15.0	2.68	15.7	14.5	1.23
George Hill	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-6	10	16.7	15.9	0.78	15.6	14.0	1.57
Ian Mahinmi	21	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	6	-14	15.3	16.8	-1.55	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Paul George	68	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	0	-2	15.8	18.5	-2.68	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Gerald Green	58	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.46	1	-3	4	15.9	17.4	-1.43	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Tyler Hansbrough	42	40	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.48	-7	5	-12	15.1	17.6	-2.54	14.7	15.5	-0.78

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	53	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	-4	10	14.8	15.6	-0.75	16.1	17.1	-1.02
Luke Ridnour	65	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	1	0	15.2	15.1	0.05	16.2	17.1	-0.83
Alexey Shved	40	42	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	1	0	15.7	14.7	0.93	15.5	17.3	-1.89
Andrei Kirilenko	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	3	-4	15.2	15.0	0.17	16.3	16.8	-0.41
Greg Stiemsma	23	25	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	-7	16	14.1	15.5	-1.44	16.7	16.4	0.33
Dante Cunningham	40	40	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	7	-12	16.3	14.2	2.15	16.0	16.8	-0.76
Derrick Williams	50	51	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	-5	12	14.2	16.3	-2.15	17.0	15.8	1.21
Malcolm Lee	25	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	1	0	15.1	15.2	-0.05	17.1	16.2	0.83
Nikola Pekovic	66	66	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	8	-14	15.7	13.6	2.09	16.6	16.1	0.56
Brandon Roy	26	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	5	-8	14.4	15.5	-1.08	18.2	15.8	2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 77, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.84,0.96,1	93.5%
NOH 87, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.94,0.91,1	93.1%
UTA 82, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	93.0%