NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	7.5 [300]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +10.2%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	1.4 [692]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -26.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Antoine Carr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	54%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Adam Keefe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Karl Malone	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.06	0.05	21	48%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26	-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	11	29%	-0.15	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.03	-0.04	18	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.15,-0.2,-0.09,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.08	0.01	27	49%	0.06	3	-0.09	15	67%	-0.07
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	9	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	18%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	33%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	30.4	19.8	28.0	2.7	49.2	156.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +9.8%

CHI +10.7%

CHI +20.6%

CHI +8.7%

CHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	17.1	17.0	15.6	97.6	101.2	102.5
season	15.9	16.2		108.1	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		97.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.4	16.1	17.1	15.3	17.1
CHI	19.6	19.9	14.9	14.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	8	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-3	2	18.1	16.9	1.18	17.3	17.0	0.35
Antoine Carr	8	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-4	4	15.1	17.3	-2.14	17.5	17.0	0.54
Greg Foster	12	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	1	-6	22.7	16.1	6.64	13.4	17.7	-4.39
Adam Keefe	34	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-3	2	16.6	17.4	-0.74	21.3	14.5	6.83
John Stockton	52	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-8	12	16.0	18.7	-2.68	18.9	13.8	5.01
Chris Morris	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-9	14	15.4	18.3	-2.92	14.6	18.8	-4.14
Jeff Hornacek	58	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-6	8	16.9	17.3	-0.36	17.9	14.8	3.05
Shandon Anderson	48	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-5	6	16.2	18.2	-1.99	17.4	16.5	0.90
Howard Eisley	32	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	4	-12	18.7	16.0	2.68	13.8	18.9	-5.01
Karl Malone	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	0	-4	17.3	15.1	2.14	17.0	17.5	-0.54
Bryon Russell	56	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	9	-22	17.9	15.4	2.45	15.7	19.6	-3.91

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-1	6	15.8	19.1	-3.31	16.5	18.1	-1.57
Scottie Pippen	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	2	0	16.9	21.3	-4.47	17.0	20.5	-3.52
Ron Harper	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	-1	6	16.5	18.4	-1.88	17.8	15.3	2.48
Michael Jordan	75	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	4	-4	17.6	13.0	4.56	16.9	18.3	-1.41
Toni Kukoc	55	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	-7	18	16.7	17.5	-0.79	17.8	15.9	1.84
Scott Burrell	33	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.37	-5	9	-14	16.6	17.3	-0.68	16.9	17.2	-0.25
Steve Kerr	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	3	-2	17.2	16.9	0.23	15.3	18.0	-2.62
Luc Longley	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	5	-6	19.7	15.1	4.59	18.3	16.2	2.05
Jud Buechler	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	2	0	0.0	17.0	-17.02	0.0	17.3	-17.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.91,1	93.0%
MEM 85, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	92.5%
PHI 91, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.84,1,1	92.4%