NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	7.3 [344]		MVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): +20.4%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	1.6 [529]		LVP	Robert Covington (PHI): -16.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.05	-0.01	11	77%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	14	48%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Henry Sims	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	18	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	11	32%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.14	-0.02	13	47%	-0.02	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.07	0.03	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	8	78%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	15	66%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	2	80%	0.08	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.07	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.07	0.00	12	33%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Ledo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	28.2	15.8	26.4	2.3	39.6	139.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.5%

NYK +26.7%

NYK +1.7%

PHI -15.5%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	17.3	15.2	15.1	102.2	114.8	104.2
season	14.9	16.1		94.3	98.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.0	17.9	16.2	17.5	17.3
NYK	13.3	16.4	13.8	17.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaKarr Sampson	32	30	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.07	10	-20	30	16.3	17.9	-1.57	15.4	15.1	0.33
Glenn Robinson	10	10	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-15	20	17.1	17.4	-0.28	12.6	15.5	-2.91
Furkan Aldemir	49	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-16	22	19.1	15.2	3.95	15.5	14.8	0.69
Robert Covington	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-10	10	17.9	16.6	1.34	15.4	14.8	0.63
Jason Richardson	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	1	-12	16.6	18.0	-1.38	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Hollis Thompson	52	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	0	-10	16.5	18.5	-1.99	15.1	15.3	-0.13
Nerlens Noel	66	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	0	-10	17.6	16.6	1.00	15.5	14.2	1.27
Jerami Grant	50	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-5	0	17.4	17.2	0.21	15.3	15.0	0.32
Henry Sims	34	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	3	-16	15.9	18.2	-2.32	14.4	15.6	-1.27
Ish Smith	58	58	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.08	-22	12	-34	17.7	16.7	0.98	15.1	15.4	-0.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	64	63	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.15	20	-10	30	14.7	16.3	-1.58	17.6	16.8	0.76
Shane Larkin	78	78	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-6	22	15.4	13.8	1.56	17.5	16.5	1.02
Lance Thomas	55	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	1	8	15.6	14.4	1.21	16.9	18.0	-1.07
Langston Galloway	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	4	2	14.9	15.5	-0.55	18.0	16.5	1.49
Jason Smith	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	12	-14	16.0	14.6	1.34	17.5	17.2	0.24
Tim Hardaway Jr.	47	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	4	2	15.1	15.3	-0.16	17.8	16.8	0.95
Lou Amundson	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	6	-2	15.0	15.3	-0.29	17.4	17.3	0.12
Quincy Acy	36	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	12	-14	15.3	15.1	0.26	16.8	17.8	-1.01
Ricky Ledo	35	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	17	-24	14.5	15.6	-1.11	16.2	18.1	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	92.4%
MIL 105, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.4%
HOU 84, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.83,1	92.0%