NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	7.2 [399]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +30.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	114		Comeback	1.8 [885]		LVP	T.J. Ford (MIL): -27.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	10	67%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Bobby Simmons	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	8	72%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	6	68%	0.06	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.06
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	22	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.04
Andrew Bogut	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	4	69%	0.07	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.00	9	11%	-0.15	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.15	0.00	16	66%	0.34	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.03	14	75%	0.26	2	-0.09	12	83%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.11	3	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Noel Felix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	0.03	9	58%	0.10	5	-0.15	6	83%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	0.03	14	39%	-0.07	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	33.1	15.8	32.3	2.4	38.2	149.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +31.8%

SEA +6.9%

SEA +18.7%

MIL -7.5%

SEA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SEA	NBA	MIL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	15.6	106.1	115.2	104.4
season	15.5	15.0		104.6	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		112.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.2	15.4	16.3	13.9	15.4
SEA	12.0	14.0	15.0	13.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine Jackson	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	8.7	15.7	-6.94	2.7	14.1	-11.39
Toni Kukoc	25	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-7	5	16.5	15.1	1.43	11.8	14.4	-2.59
Dan Gadzuric	47	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-11	13	15.9	15.0	0.87	15.4	12.3	3.16
Joe Smith	51	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-10	11	15.3	15.5	-0.21	14.2	13.2	0.96
T.J. Ford	62	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	15.9	14.6	1.27	13.2	14.4	-1.12
Jamaal Magloire	47	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	1	-11	15.3	15.5	-0.18	13.4	13.9	-0.46
Andrew Bogut	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	1	-11	15.5	15.3	0.21	13.5	13.9	-0.41
Bobby Simmons	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	14.6	17.5	-2.91	13.4	14.5	-1.16
Charlie Bell	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	15.6	15.1	0.43	13.8	13.4	0.37
Michael Redd	77	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	15.4	15.3	0.12	14.4	10.9	3.42

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	71	72	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.22	19	-10	29	13.6	13.9	-0.30	15.5	15.3	0.16
Chris Wilcox	83	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-3	15	13.9	12.4	1.48	15.5	15.0	0.50
Johan Petro	52	51	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-3	15	14.3	13.0	1.37	15.6	15.2	0.48
Luke Ridnour	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-5	19	14.3	12.7	1.67	15.8	14.8	1.07
Earl Watson	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	7	-5	13.6	13.8	-0.13	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Ray Allen	72	71	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	9	-9	13.2	15.0	-1.82	15.4	15.4	0.08
Mikki Moore	24	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	9	-9	14.3	13.5	0.81	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Noel Felix	3	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	9	-9	7.3	13.9	-6.54	21.0	15.3	5.70
Robert Swift	33	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	14	-19	13.2	13.9	-0.74	15.8	15.2	0.55
Damien Wilkins	35	35	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.04	-9	18	-27	12.9	14.1	-1.22	14.2	16.1	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, CHH 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.93,1	93.0%
PHX 84, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.59,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.0%
CHA 92, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	92.7%