NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	6.2 [529]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (CHH): +25.9%
Charlotte Hornets	103		Comeback	1.7 [620]		LVP	Travis Williams (CHH): -12.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.02	19	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	81%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Tim Thomas	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	20	49%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.12	-0.01	11	79%	0.27	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.10	0.02	27	65%	0.28	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Matt Geiger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	11	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	12	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	37%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	21.5	14.7	29.2	1.4	26.6	119.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +5.8%

CHH +13.1%

CHH +21.7%

CHH +10.9%

PHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	15.6	17.5	15.6	110.3	118.4	102.5
season	15.4	15.7		99.7	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.2	14.3	15.4	16.4	15.6
CHH	16.5	20.0	15.3	18.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-5	3	14.3	16.4	-2.15	18.6	16.8	1.79
Clar. Weatherspoon	34	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-6	5	14.8	16.1	-1.33	19.2	16.6	2.62
Theo Ratliff	65	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-8	9	15.5	15.7	-0.20	16.9	19.4	-2.50
Tim Thomas	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-4	1	16.5	14.9	1.63	16.2	18.5	-2.38
Eric Snow	41	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-8	9	14.9	16.2	-1.32	18.6	16.6	2.02
Allen Iverson	63	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	1	-9	16.3	13.5	2.81	17.2	18.4	-1.18
Jim Jackson	86	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	2	-11	15.5	26.0	-10.55	17.4	28.0	-10.59
Derrick Coleman	75	76	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.27	-14	7	-21	16.0	13.0	2.99	17.4	18.7	-1.37

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	85	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-4	15	17.4	24.5	-7.14	15.5	26.0	-10.55
Vernon Maxwell	44	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	1	5	17.6	17.4	0.22	15.6	15.6	0.04
David Wesley	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	17.9	15.4	2.52	15.6	15.6	-0.05
Anthony Mason	81	81	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	4	-1	17.9	12.0	5.94	15.5	17.0	-1.53
Matt Geiger	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	2	3	17.7	17.2	0.46	15.8	15.0	0.82
J.R. Reid	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	1	5	16.2	18.3	-2.07	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Travis Williams	33	34	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	7	-7	17.8	17.4	0.42	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Donald Royal	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	6	-5	15.7	18.0	-2.28	17.6	15.0	2.57
B.J. Armstrong	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	9	-11	18.3	17.5	0.82	14.4	15.7	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.79,0.97,1,1	93.6%
CLE 83, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	93.4%
LAL 94, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.96,1	93.4%