NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	7.0 [436]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +16.4%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.5 [1122]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -9.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.09	0.11	-0.03	-0.00	15	69%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1	-0.03	-0.09	-0.02	28	47%	-0.00	3	-0.10	10	80%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.01	9	70%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	12	65%	0.18	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	8	63%	0.13	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	15	41%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	21	49%	0.08	4	-0.14	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	30.1	17.7	26.1	3.6	40.2	147.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.6%

PHX +11.8%

LAL -8.3%

PHX +8.3%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	14.0	15.4	100.0	107.6	104.5
season	15.3	13.8		106.3	112.2
opponent	16.0	14.9		105.0	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	17.6	17.1	16.6	17.0
PHX	14.0	15.1	11.7	15.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	40	40	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.07	9	-14	23	16.3	17.4	-1.14	13.8	14.1	-0.32
Aaron McKie	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-4	3	16.9	17.0	-0.11	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Ronny Turiaf	30	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	0	-5	17.7	16.6	1.04	15.7	13.3	2.44
Shammond Williams	42	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-8	11	16.5	17.3	-0.83	14.6	13.5	1.19
Maurice Evans	58	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	3	-11	17.4	16.2	1.15	12.8	16.0	-3.15
Brian Cook	63	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-9	13	16.6	17.8	-1.22	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Smush Parker	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	4	-13	17.4	16.3	1.14	13.2	15.1	-1.96
Sasha Vujacic	35	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-4	3	16.6	17.2	-0.52	15.8	13.0	2.82
Kobe Bryant	88	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	16.7	20.5	-3.78	14.0	13.5	0.51
Kwame Brown	53	51	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	9	-23	17.5	16.2	1.35	14.4	13.5	0.88

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	64	64	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	14.6	12.6	2.02	17.2	16.5	0.62
Shawn Marion	80	83	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	14.2	12.7	1.51	17.0	16.5	0.57
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	1	3	13.5	16.3	-2.84	16.8	17.8	-1.01
Steve Nash	73	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	4	-3	13.4	16.3	-2.95	16.8	17.7	-0.91
Raja Bell	81	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	7	-9	14.0	13.9	0.08	16.8	18.1	-1.29
James Jones	37	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	0	5	13.6	14.2	-0.64	17.5	16.6	0.91
Kurt Thomas	38	41	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	6	-7	15.2	13.1	2.05	16.5	17.3	-0.83
Eric Piatkowski	12	12	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	2	1	13.7	14.0	-0.36	18.9	16.7	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 82, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.3%
CHA 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	94.2%
CLE 83, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	94.1%