NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	7.9 [280]		MVP	TJ McConnell (PHI): +15.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	1.6 [410]		LVP	Nerlens Noel (PHI): -14.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	21	54%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	13	57%	0.17	5	-0.17	16	69%	-0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	6	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	10	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	5	42%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ McConnell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.12	0.01	6	71%	0.20	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.01	14	60%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	3	82%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.03
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.06	9	40%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	13	65%	0.21	4	-0.19	14	86%	-0.03
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.00	5	36%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	6	71%	0.03	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	34.5	15.3	27.0	1.7	38.6	146.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +61.9%

PHI +12.9%

PHI +14.8%

TOR -41.0%

PHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	14.8	89.0	97.9	107.7
season	15.2	14.5		110.0	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.6	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.2	13.8	16.1	14.2	15.0
PHI	13.8	13.9	17.4	12.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	13	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	14.2	15.1	-0.95	13.1	14.6	-1.55
DeMarre Carroll	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-2	-1	15.9	14.2	1.69	14.6	14.2	0.43
Jakob Poeltl	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	14.4	15.0	-0.59	18.7	14.1	4.66
Jonas Valanciunas	64	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-6	7	15.1	14.7	0.40	14.2	14.7	-0.57
Pascal Siakam	20	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	3	-11	18.3	14.1	4.15	15.3	14.2	1.08
Jared Sullinger	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-2	-1	14.8	15.1	-0.26	13.8	14.7	-0.86
Norman Powell	38	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-3	1	14.7	15.2	-0.48	14.3	14.4	-0.14
Terrence Ross	67	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-10	15	14.1	16.7	-2.52	14.4	14.3	0.10
Cory Joseph	58	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-4	3	13.6	16.9	-3.32	13.8	15.0	-1.20
DeMar DeRozan	78	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	1	-7	15.0	15.0	0.03	14.5	13.9	0.69
Kyle Lowry	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	15.6	12.4	3.22	14.5	13.7	0.78

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	52	56	0.68	-0.17	0.85	0.09	20	-15	35	13.5	15.4	-1.87	15.6	14.2	1.34
Gerald Henderson	52	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.30	3	2	1	13.9	15.0	-1.03	14.9	15.1	-0.24
TJ McConnell	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	4	-3	14.3	14.6	-0.28	15.4	14.4	0.95
Robert Covington	73	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	3	-1	14.7	13.4	1.32	14.9	15.1	-0.19
Ersan Ilyasova	45	48	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	1	3	14.2	14.5	-0.33	16.3	13.7	2.60
Dario Saric	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	4	-3	14.5	14.2	0.33	13.7	16.3	-2.60
Nik Stauskas	31	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	-5	15	14.4	14.4	-0.01	16.7	14.1	2.61
Sergio Rodriguez	39	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	1	3	14.6	14.3	0.28	14.4	15.4	-0.95
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	36	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	10	-15	14.4	14.4	0.08	13.7	15.8	-2.05
Nerlens Noel	44	44	-0.17	0.68	-0.85	0.26	-15	20	-35	15.4	13.5	1.87	14.2	15.6	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	93.2%
MIL 99, CHA 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.65,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.74,1	92.3%
IND 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.91,1	92.1%