NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	99		Excitement	9.8 [61]		MVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): +17.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	102		Comeback	1.4 [729]		LVP	Mo Williams (MIL): -31.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.02	11	55%	0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	5	67%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	10	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Yi Jianlian	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22	-0.03	-0.19	0.00	16	57%	0.12	6	-0.34	5	100%	0.05
Mo Williams	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.23,-0.32	-0.06	-0.17	0.09	18	56%	0.02	6	-0.33	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17	0.17	-0.01	0.17	-0.01	19	48%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.14
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.08	0.04	13	63%	0.23	4	-0.12	15	73%	-0.05
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	5	33%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	11	49%	-0.05	5	-0.13	13	23%	-0.34
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.00	-0.16	0.02	16	59%	0.07	5	-0.24	5	40%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.8	29.2	16.3	26.3	1.8	42.9	146.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +3.1%

MIL -9.4%

CHA +27.9%

CHA +22.9%

CHA +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	15.4	101.0	106.2	105.7
season	15.8	15.8		103.4	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.8	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.4	13.4	17.5	13.4	14.8
CHA	15.2	16.0	14.4	13.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	64	67	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-6	9	15.5	13.6	1.97	15.8	12.6	3.19
Jake Voskuhl	2	0	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	9.5	15.0	-5.46	0.0	14.8	-14.84
Desmond Mason	70	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-6	9	14.6	15.4	-0.76	14.6	15.4	-0.72
Charlie Villanueva	51	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-3	3	14.7	15.0	-0.34	14.2	15.5	-1.26
Yi Jianlian	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	4	-11	16.2	14.2	2.02	15.4	14.6	0.75
Michael Ruffin	8	7	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-3	3	10.4	15.2	-4.87	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Michael Redd	79	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-5	7	14.4	16.6	-2.21	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Royal Ivey	15	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	2	-7	16.9	14.5	2.46	14.1	15.0	-0.84
Dan Gadzuric	23	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	1	-5	15.3	14.7	0.54	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Charlie Bell	56	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.50	7	-10	17	13.9	16.0	-2.10	15.0	14.6	0.44
Bobby Simmons	28	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	3	-9	15.4	14.6	0.76	15.4	14.6	0.72
Mo Williams	63	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	5	-13	15.0	14.5	0.52	14.7	15.1	-0.38

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	48	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	2	-1	14.1	15.6	-1.56	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Gerald Wallace	86	87	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-5	13	14.3	19.8	-5.53	14.8	15.5	-0.79
Emeka Okafor	76	77	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-6	15	14.5	16.2	-1.71	15.4	13.0	2.41
Jason Richardson	74	75	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	4	-5	14.5	15.9	-1.38	14.6	15.7	-1.05
Raymond Felton	85	87	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	1	1	14.3	19.3	-5.00	15.2	12.3	2.90
Matt Carroll	32	33	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	0	3	18.2	13.2	5.06	15.7	14.4	1.24
Walter Herrmann	23	23	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.23	-2	5	-7	15.0	14.8	0.21	14.1	15.1	-0.94
Ryan Hollins	12	12	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	4	-5	19.7	14.2	5.51	12.9	15.1	-2.20
Jared Dudley	4	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	7	-11	16.0	14.8	1.21	2.5	15.4	-12.87
Primoz Brezec	40	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	3	-3	15.1	14.6	0.52	16.2	13.9	2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.65,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.72,1	92.3%
IND 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.91,1	92.3%
ORL 106, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.67,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	92.2%