NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	119		Excitement	11.2 [31]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +91.3%
New York Knicks	123		Comeback	2.8 [530]		LVP	Jeff Foster (IND): -34.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,0.02,0.39,0.39	0.09	0.29	-0.01	19	67%	0.65	6	-0.26	11	73%	0.07
Travis Diener	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	4	80%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.02	23	56%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	16	54%	0.15	2	-0.14	3	67%	-0.02
Maceo Baston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	15	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Roy Hibbert	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Stephen Graham	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.34	-0.10	-0.24	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	5	-0.36	2	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.91	0.91	0.30	0.61	-0.01	18	75%	0.95	1	-0.04	19	79%	0.10
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	20	60%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	7	36%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.09
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	18	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.14	0.01	17	48%	-0.13	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.23
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.3	29.9	17.4	25.5	2.4	42.3	145.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +3.4%

NYK +3.0%

IND -20.2%

NYK +60.9%

NYK +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	13.6	12.6	15.5	108.2	111.8	106.4
season	14.1	13.8		106.5	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	12.6	13.1	14.7	13.6
NYK	13.1	13.6	10.9	13.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	34	36	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.04	9	-13	22	13.3	13.7	-0.35	13.3	12.3	0.98
Travis Diener	50	49	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-2	0	13.1	13.9	-0.78	12.1	13.0	-0.97
Rasho Nesterovic	13	14	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-5	6	13.3	13.6	-0.29	15.0	12.3	2.73
Maceo Baston	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	1	-6	12.9	13.6	-0.73	12.1	12.7	-0.60
Marquis Daniels	97	97	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.43	7	-11	18	13.5	13.7	-0.15	12.5	13.4	-0.87
Stephen Graham	29	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	4	-12	13.3	13.7	-0.34	12.5	12.7	-0.18
Jarrett Jack	92	94	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-6	8	13.7	12.8	0.87	13.1	9.7	3.36
Troy Murphy	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-5	6	13.6	13.5	0.04	12.7	12.5	0.14
Brandon Rush	76	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.25	-15	11	-26	13.9	12.8	1.11	12.6	12.7	-0.17
Jeff Foster	67	64	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.42	-10	6	-16	13.7	13.3	0.35	11.7	13.8	-2.08

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	85	85	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-6	16	12.0	14.6	-2.62	13.8	12.7	1.09
Nate Robinson	83	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-3	10	12.7	12.5	0.18	13.5	13.9	-0.38
Chris Duhon	81	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	1	2	12.1	13.9	-1.78	13.7	13.1	0.66
Al Harrington	87	88	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	3	-2	12.3	13.9	-1.58	13.6	13.4	0.25
Wilson Chandler	87	86	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	5	-6	13.0	11.2	1.83	13.7	12.9	0.83
Danilo Gallinari	16	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	0	4	13.7	12.4	1.32	13.2	13.6	-0.42
Larry Hughes	35	36	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	6	-8	12.8	12.5	0.31	12.9	13.9	-1.00
Jared Jeffries	51	50	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	0	4	12.7	12.5	0.16	13.6	13.5	0.14
Chris Wilcox	25	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	10	-16	14.6	12.0	2.62	12.7	13.8	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.9,0.8,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 85, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.57,0.42,1	92.3%
CHA 89, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.15,1	90.8%
ATL 104, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.42,1	90.3%