NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	10.3 [57]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOH): +34.7%
New Orleans Hornets	88		Comeback	5.8 [178]		LVP	Mo Williams (UTA): -28.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,0.17	-0.03	0.21	0.01	9	55%	0.28	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.05
Gordon Hayward	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	8	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	16	61%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
DeMarre Carroll	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	13	38%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Enes Kanter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	8	31%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.28	-0.03	-0.27	-0.01	16	47%	-0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.35	0.35	0.09	0.25	-0.00	15	63%	0.46	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,0.1	0.10	-0.09	0.20	0.01	13	41%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.08
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.08	0.00	16	58%	0.13	1	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.7	26.0	15.7	29.1	0.7	36.4	130.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +51.0%

NOH +12.9%

UTA -5.8%

UTA -0.7%

UTA -7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOH	NBA	UTA	NOH	NBA
this game	17.6	16.4	15.4	102.4	103.5	104.1
season	16.0	16.3		104.6	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		108.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.1	16.2	17.0	18.1	17.6
NOH	14.3	18.8	15.8	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	24	24	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.03	6	-8	14	15.8	18.4	-2.59	18.9	15.5	3.44
Derrick Favors	37	36	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-7	12	17.8	17.5	0.25	18.2	15.2	2.98
Enes Kanter	33	34	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-8	14	15.2	19.3	-4.10	19.7	14.3	5.38
Jamaal Tinsley	26	26	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-6	10	17.5	17.7	-0.26	21.4	14.3	7.17
Marvin Williams	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	5	-12	20.1	14.1	6.00	15.5	17.7	-2.21
Randy Foye	46	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-7	12	15.9	19.7	-3.78	18.4	14.1	4.28
Al Jefferson	51	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	6	-14	19.3	15.2	4.10	14.3	19.7	-5.38
Mo Williams	58	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.44	-6	4	-10	17.7	17.5	0.26	14.3	21.4	-7.17
Gordon Hayward	49	50	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.40	-8	6	-14	17.7	17.6	0.02	14.4	19.4	-5.02
Paul Millsap	47	49	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.43	-7	5	-12	17.5	17.8	-0.25	15.2	18.2	-2.98

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	62	62	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.48	14	-12	26	14.4	22.0	-7.67	18.8	14.4	4.38
Greivis Vasquez	66	66	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.49	12	-10	22	14.9	21.8	-6.95	18.4	14.9	3.51
Ryan Anderson	55	55	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	-3	8	17.3	14.8	2.55	16.9	19.0	-2.07
Roger Mason Jr.	27	26	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.52	-1	3	-4	17.8	15.8	2.00	17.2	17.8	-0.65
Robin Lopez	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-2	6	16.0	17.6	-1.53	18.9	14.0	4.87
Anthony Davis	24	25	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-4	10	16.5	16.4	0.02	19.0	17.1	1.88
Austin Rivers	48	49	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.18	8	-6	14	17.0	15.7	1.32	19.1	15.6	3.45
Jason Smith	36	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	10	-18	17.2	15.9	1.30	15.1	19.3	-4.20
Brian Roberts	9	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	9	-16	20.1	16.0	4.10	13.5	18.1	-4.58
Xavier Henry	14	14	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.08	-9	11	-20	18.1	16.1	2.03	15.3	18.1	-2.83
Darius Miller	22	20	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.04	-14	16	-30	19.1	15.5	3.63	12.5	19.2	-6.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.42,1	90.9%
PHI 91, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.28,1	90.9%
SAS 90, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.55,0.55,0.42,1	90.8%