NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	9.1 [105]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +40.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	3.4 [357]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -38.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.12	0.19	-0.00	11	63%	0.31	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Andray Blatche	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	6	72%	0.17	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.2,0.36,0.07	0.10	-0.03	0.00	13	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.11
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Nick Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.38	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.38	-0.08	-0.31	-0.00	17	39%	-0.21	2	-0.17	7	57%	-0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.23	0.18	0.00	16	84%	0.43	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.06,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.16	0.01	20	61%	0.44	3	-0.19	14	64%	0.08
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	10	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaniel Dickens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	41%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	6	21%	-0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	3.8	31.5	18.8	27.3	2.7	42.0	150.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +62.7%

WAS -20.9%

CLE +18.9%

WAS -16.9%

CLE +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.8	16.7	15.4	103.5	104.7	105.7
season	16.1	16.4		106.8	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.1	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	15.5	17.7	17.3	16.8
CLE	16.9	17.2	15.9	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	12	11	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	0	-1	16.9	16.7	0.17	17.5	16.6	0.95
Dominic McGuire	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	0	-1	14.8	17.3	-2.50	16.7	16.7	-0.07
Andray Blatche	52	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	0	-1	17.2	16.2	0.98	16.3	17.4	-1.14
Antonio Daniels	49	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	1	-3	17.1	16.3	0.83	16.7	16.8	-0.15
Brendan Haywood	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-1	1	17.2	14.1	3.12	17.0	14.7	2.29
Darius Songaila	37	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	0	-1	16.4	17.1	-0.73	16.9	16.6	0.24
Roger Mason Jr.	37	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.44	1	-2	3	16.3	17.1	-0.83	16.8	16.6	0.21
Antawn Jamison	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-1	1	16.7	17.1	-0.39	16.6	17.3	-0.68
DeShawn Stevenson	74	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.50	0	-1	1	16.7	16.9	-0.17	16.6	17.5	-0.95

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	77	78	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.58	5	-4	9	16.4	19.6	-3.17	16.9	15.0	1.95
Eric Snow	57	57	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	-2	5	17.3	15.6	1.71	17.1	16.2	0.90
LeBron James	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.47	2	-1	3	16.7	17.0	-0.30	16.7	17.7	-0.97
Damon Jones	79	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	-1	3	16.7	17.4	-0.77	16.6	18.7	-2.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.50	-4	5	-9	17.4	14.7	2.74	17.3	15.3	2.01
Dwayne Jones	25	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	-1	3	15.2	17.3	-2.14	15.5	17.3	-1.82
Kaniel Dickens	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	18.5	16.4	2.14	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Billy Thomas	35	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	4	-7	15.8	17.3	-1.50	16.4	17.0	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.36,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.37,0.67,0.73,1	91.3%
SAS 109, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.42,1	91.3%
CLE 93, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.58,1	91.1%