NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	9.0 [134]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +66.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	2.3 [580]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -20.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.10	0.03	10	67%	0.19	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Tony Battie	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.04	11	71%	0.14	2	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	14	57%	0.14	5	-0.11	16	44%	-0.27
Pat Garrity	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	54%	0.08	2	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	6	21%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21	-0.03	-0.17	0.00	10	35%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.59,0.67	0.67	0.14	0.52	-0.00	15	68%	0.74	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.11
Smush Parker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.04	0.02	16	68%	0.19	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	5	56%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	82%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	73%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.01	12	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	6	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.8	29.0	17.7	29.4	2.5	38.4	148.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.7%

LAL +34.2%

ORL -22.9%

LAL +14.9%

ORL -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAL	NBA	ORL	LAL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.4	15.4	116.5	118.5	104.5
season	15.9	15.3		103.4	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.4	17.3	18.5	21.1	17.1
LAL	14.7	17.0	11.5	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	36	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-2	1	19.8	15.3	4.56	16.0	13.3	2.66
Pat Garrity	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	17.4	17.0	0.33	19.9	13.9	5.98
Keyon Dooling	37	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-4	5	17.9	16.5	1.33	14.9	14.1	0.74
Keith Bogans	49	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-8	13	17.9	16.1	1.73	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Darko Milicic	28	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-5	7	16.7	17.2	-0.47	15.1	14.1	1.02
Tony Battie	56	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-2	1	16.7	17.6	-0.90	14.3	14.6	-0.39
Jameer Nelson	55	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-1	-1	15.3	19.8	-4.56	13.3	16.0	-2.66
Grant Hill	61	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	2	-7	16.8	17.7	-0.88	14.3	14.7	-0.45
Hedo Turkoglu	53	55	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	6	-15	17.4	16.6	0.81	14.6	14.2	0.42
Dwight Howard	72	73	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.46	-7	4	-11	16.5	19.3	-2.83	13.5	17.8	-4.32

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	61	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-4	11	14.4	14.4	-0.01	17.0	17.3	-0.28
Kobe Bryant	78	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-1	5	14.1	16.1	-2.04	16.7	19.1	-2.46
Smush Parker	62	62	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	0	3	14.0	15.3	-1.37	16.5	18.3	-1.81
Andrew Bynum	35	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	-3	9	13.9	14.7	-0.81	16.9	17.2	-0.36
Ronny Turiaf	58	55	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	6	-9	14.5	14.3	0.19	17.2	16.9	0.36
Maurice Evans	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	5	-7	14.5	14.4	0.08	18.5	16.0	2.56
Brian Cook	40	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	-1	5	14.2	14.5	-0.29	15.6	18.2	-2.60
Vladimir Radmanovic	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	8	-13	14.2	14.6	-0.42	17.0	17.1	-0.08
Sasha Vujacic	22	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	2	-1	17.0	13.6	3.34	19.4	16.3	3.16
Jordan Farmar	28	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	3	-3	15.2	14.0	1.20	17.9	16.7	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.36,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.37,0.67,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.55,0.73,1	92.0%
UTA 86, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.6%
ORL 107, HOU 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	91.5%