NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	9.8 [84]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +24.9%
Charlotte Hornets	92		Comeback	7.3 [238]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -66.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	8	67%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Robert Covington	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	10	62%	0.19	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	57%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.09	8	62%	-0.05
Jerami Grant	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14	-0.00	-0.13	0.01	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.16	4	50%	-0.06
Ish Smith	-0.66	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.66	-0.14	-0.52	-0.00	20	34%	-0.57	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.18

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,0,0,-0.11,0.25	0.25	-0.06	0.30	-0.01	12	29%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	21	55%	0.15	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.22,-0.37	-0.37	-0.07	-0.32	-0.03	17	43%	-0.17	3	-0.20	8	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	38.3	15.4	29.3	2.5	32.1	142.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +33.2%

CHA +23.2%

PHI -15.5%

CHA +16.0%

PHI -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.1	95.8	101.1	104.2
season	14.9	15.6		94.3	98.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		102.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	14.6	13.7	19.4	15.6
CHA	14.5	16.2	15.2	15.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Sims	33	30	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-8	15	15.8	15.5	0.29	15.8	15.2	0.65
Glenn Robinson	40	36	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-3	5	16.2	15.1	1.05	14.7	15.9	-1.16
Nerlens Noel	20	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	3	-7	14.5	15.8	-1.29	16.2	15.1	1.04
Luc Mbah a Moute	61	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.16	-3	2	-5	17.5	12.1	5.47	15.9	14.7	1.17
Robert Covington	57	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	0	-1	15.1	16.3	-1.16	16.1	14.2	1.90
Jerami Grant	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-4	7	13.8	18.3	-4.54	15.6	15.1	0.49
JaKarr Sampson	37	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	1	-3	15.1	15.8	-0.71	14.4	15.9	-1.52
Ish Smith	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	0	-1	14.9	17.1	-2.16	15.4	15.3	0.07
Furkan Aldemir	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	1	-3	16.1	14.8	1.28	15.1	15.9	-0.84
Hollis Thompson	49	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	3	-7	16.2	14.9	1.27	14.7	16.1	-1.44

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	67	69	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-9	19	14.8	17.2	-2.41	15.1	16.8	-1.71
Gerald Henderson	59	60	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.51	5	-4	9	14.8	16.5	-1.70	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Marvin Williams	68	70	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-4	9	14.8	17.0	-2.21	14.5	18.4	-3.90
Jeff Taylor	50	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	-3	7	15.2	15.7	-0.48	15.9	15.1	0.78
Bismack Biyombo	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	-7	15	15.0	16.1	-1.05	16.1	14.5	1.66
Jason Maxiell	30	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.38	-7	8	-15	16.1	15.0	1.05	14.8	16.0	-1.14
Mo Williams	56	61	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	5	-9	15.6	15.0	0.64	15.6	15.6	-0.03
PJ Hairston	30	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	4	-7	16.8	14.7	2.05	15.8	15.5	0.32
Noah Vonleh	23	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	5	-9	17.0	14.8	2.21	18.4	14.5	3.90
Lance Stephenson	11	12	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	10	-19	18.5	15.0	3.48	16.1	15.5	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.42,1	92.1%
DAL 91, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.81,0.72,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	91.9%
NYK 99, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.75,0.45,0.24,0.42,1	91.7%