NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	8.6 [183]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +51.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	3.1 [637]		LVP	Malik Rose (NYK): -20.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.25	0.19	0.06	0.00	11	83%	0.28	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
David Lee	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2	0.05	0.16	0.00	4	67%	0.20	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	4	80%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.04	0.16	-0.01	8	50%	0.20	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	14	63%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	4	30%	-0.12	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.52	0.52	0.04	0.47	-0.01	12	57%	0.59	2	-0.07	16	69%	0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.14	0.24	0.00	10	77%	0.44	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.13	0.17	-0.01	13	72%	0.33	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	78%	0.11	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	2	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	67%	0.07	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.13	0.00	7	57%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	30.6	18.4	25.5	2.4	37.5	141.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +43.8%

MEM +12.6%

NYK -2.9%

NYK -9.1%

MEM +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MEM	NBA	NYK	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	17.7	15.6	111.2	114.8	104.4
season	15.7	17.1		102.1	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.5	15.4	14.8	15.9	14.9
MEM	16.4	15.9	17.9	21.4	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	32	31	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.14	9	-11	20	13.2	15.8	-2.59	16.9	18.1	-1.15
Jamal Crawford	37	36	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.21	11	-13	24	15.3	14.6	0.77	17.7	17.7	0.02
Maurice Taylor	19	20	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-4	6	14.5	15.0	-0.45	14.0	18.8	-4.76
Qyntel Woods	38	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	2	-6	14.5	15.1	-0.61	17.6	17.7	-0.15
Jackie Butler	32	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-4	6	15.6	14.5	1.07	20.8	16.2	4.64
Malik Rose	35	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	0	-2	16.3	14.0	2.28	19.1	16.7	2.32
Eddy Curry	30	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	10	-22	15.7	14.5	1.19	16.7	18.2	-1.51
David Lee	30	28	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	1	-4	13.7	15.5	-1.72	17.2	17.9	-0.63
Quentin Richardson	65	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.6	-0.97	17.3	18.7	-1.39
Stephon Marbury	68	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.34	-7	5	-12	14.9	14.8	0.15	18.5	14.9	3.60
Steve Francis	59	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.49	-4	2	-6	15.1	14.5	0.57	17.2	18.6	-1.39

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	70	70	1.12	-0.62	1.74	0.48	22	-20	42	17.0	20.2	-3.12	15.3	13.4	1.85
Eddie Jones	65	68	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.45	12	-10	22	18.3	15.9	2.45	14.9	14.7	0.27
Pau Gasol	77	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-7	16	17.1	22.0	-4.94	14.7	16.5	-1.80
Bobby Jackson	38	38	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	-1	4	18.1	17.4	0.75	15.6	14.3	1.32
Jake Tsakalidis	44	45	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-5	12	19.3	16.1	3.23	15.4	14.4	1.01
Hakim Warrick	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	3	-4	16.9	18.3	-1.43	15.3	14.6	0.72
Antonio Burks	6	5	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	0	2	16.8	17.7	-0.91	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Chucky Atkins	55	57	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	10	-18	17.9	17.4	0.46	14.2	16.1	-1.90
Dahntay Jones	11	11	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	12	-22	18.0	17.6	0.36	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Brian Cardinal	9	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	10	-18	18.3	17.6	0.73	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Mike Miller	27	27	-0.55	1.05	-1.61	-0.03	-18	20	-38	17.0	18.0	-1.04	13.5	15.5	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.75,0.45,0.24,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.77,0.61,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.37,0.22,0.18,1	91.8%
PHI 91, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.28,1	91.7%
CLE 76, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.72,1	90.5%