NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	76		Excitement	8.1 [257]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +22.0%
Detroit Pistons	79		Comeback	2.9 [692]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -24.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	17	58%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Anderson Varejao	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	9	65%	0.15	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	14	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	4	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	10%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	15	33%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	13	39%	-0.16	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.16	0.00	13	58%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.29,0.17	0.17	-0.03	0.20	0.01	6	81%	0.43	7	-0.27	4	75%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	21	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	11	40%	-0.02	2	-0.07	3	0%	-0.07
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.11	-0.00	11	29%	-0.15	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	3.6	28.5	20.3	25.6	4.4	40.3	153.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +80.8%

CLE -2.0%

CLE -3.9%

CLE -28.7%

DET +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	17.0	17.7	15.4	91.6	95.2	104.5
season	16.0	16.8		103.2	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.7	17.2	18.1	19.2	17.0
DET	19.7	15.5	17.9	17.7	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	29	27	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.09	7	-10	17	16.1	17.5	-1.43	20.4	16.4	4.01
Daniel Gibson	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	16.7	17.0	-0.28	21.8	17.2	4.58
Drew Gooden	40	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-1	-1	16.1	17.9	-1.79	17.8	17.6	0.16
Donyell Marshall	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	16.8	17.0	-0.21	17.8	17.7	0.08
Anderson Varejao	48	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-7	11	16.5	17.7	-1.24	18.5	16.6	1.92
Larry Hughes	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-2	1	17.0	17.6	-0.64	17.6	19.0	-1.40
LeBron James	78	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	2	-7	16.9	19.2	-2.34	17.3	26.2	-8.98
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	6	-15	18.1	14.2	3.91	17.0	19.7	-2.70
Sasha Pavlovic	56	57	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.49	-10	7	-17	17.8	15.4	2.36	16.5	20.3	-3.80

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	68	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.50	5	-2	7	17.2	19.7	-2.48	17.2	16.0	1.22
Tayshaun Prince	76	75	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.43	7	-4	11	17.9	16.0	1.86	16.9	18.0	-1.11
Rasheed Wallace	70	69	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-3	9	17.4	19.5	-2.18	17.5	14.6	2.92
Jason Maxiell	20	19	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-1	5	18.1	17.6	0.59	19.4	16.3	3.07
Richard Hamilton	75	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-1	5	17.9	15.6	2.30	16.6	20.7	-4.15
Chris Webber	33	33	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	2	-1	18.1	17.4	0.65	17.8	16.5	1.26
Dale Davis	10	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	1	1	18.9	17.5	1.37	16.0	17.1	-1.12
Carlos Delfino	7	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	7	-11	16.0	17.9	-1.86	18.0	16.9	1.11
Lindsey Hunter	23	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	5	-7	18.3	17.5	0.84	17.0	17.0	-0.06
Antonio McDyess	33	35	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.07	-8	11	-19	17.4	17.9	-0.51	14.7	18.6	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.56,0.42,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.59,0.66,0.39,0.57,0.57,0.73,1	92.2%
MIL 95, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.29,0.23,0.58,1	91.9%
UTA 92, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.54,0.71,0.54,0.68,0.58,1	91.8%