NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	8.9 [139]		MVP	Eddie Johnson (HOU): +41.2%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	2.3 [621]		LVP	Greg Foster (UTA): -30.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.09	0.15	-0.01	0.04	12	76%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	7	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.04,0,-0.15	0.03	-0.15	0.04	6	64%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Jeff Hornacek	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.01	-0.10	0.06	12	48%	-0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.03
Karl Malone	-0.23	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.36,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.06	0.05	28	38%	-0.03	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.03
Greg Foster	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31	-0.03	-0.18	0.10	6	29%	-0.27	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.41	0.41	0.04	0.37	0.00	5	64%	0.41	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	61%	0.09	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.05
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	15	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.27	-0.27	-0.05	-0.24	-0.02	18	56%	-0.03	4	-0.24	12	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	45.7	2.4	28.2	17.8	25.0	2.7	37.5	159.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +85.8%

HOU +11.7%

UTA -30.4%

UTA -10.6%

UTA -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	17.4	15.1	15.6	103.4	108.0	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		110.8	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.0		103.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	16.4	16.1	23.9	17.4
HOU	14.8	14.2	16.6	14.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	33	34	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.00	6	-9	15	16.0	18.3	-2.35	15.4	14.9	0.49
Chris Morris	12	12	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-6	9	15.7	17.7	-2.06	13.7	15.3	-1.54
Adam Keefe	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-3	3	0.0	17.4	-17.45	3.0	15.2	-12.22
Howard Eisley	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	0	-3	14.5	18.4	-3.98	13.9	15.4	-1.54
Antoine Carr	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-1	-1	16.0	17.9	-1.96	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Shandon Anderson	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-2	1	20.2	15.9	4.32	13.9	15.8	-1.82
Bryon Russell	69	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-2	1	17.7	16.5	1.22	15.5	13.8	1.68
John Stockton	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-3	3	18.4	14.5	3.98	15.4	13.9	1.54
Karl Malone	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-2	1	18.0	15.1	2.96	15.7	12.5	3.16
Jeff Hornacek	65	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	4	-11	16.1	21.0	-4.92	15.5	14.0	1.52
Greg Foster	52	49	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.39	-9	6	-15	18.2	16.4	1.83	15.0	15.1	-0.09

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-4	11	15.2	13.8	1.44	17.2	19.3	-2.08
Hakeem Olajuwon	69	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	0	3	15.0	15.4	-0.37	18.4	14.1	4.32
Charles Barkley	77	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	2	-1	15.2	14.4	0.82	15.8	27.9	-12.10
Sedale Threatt	25	25	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	-1	5	13.3	15.8	-2.51	21.7	15.8	5.88
Matt Maloney	63	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	4	-5	15.8	13.3	2.51	15.8	21.7	-5.88
Eddie Johnson	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	2	-1	13.9	16.2	-2.25	18.8	16.1	2.66
Mario Elie	55	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	5	-7	15.7	14.0	1.78	16.7	18.6	-1.89
Kevin Willis	30	31	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	1	1	15.0	15.1	-0.12	19.4	16.4	3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.54,0.71,0.54,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	92.9%
CLE 76, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.72,1	91.8%
UTA 72, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.58,1	91.7%