NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	86		Excitement	9.0 [132]		MVP	A.J. Price (WAS): +29.2%
Washington Wizards	90		Comeback	3.1 [463]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -18.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.03,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	16	47%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.16
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.14	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	18	51%	0.04	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	4	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	15	39%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18	-0.04	-0.16	-0.02	13	41%	-0.15	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.12

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.09	0.21	-0.00	7	93%	0.39	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.14	-0.01	5	83%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	-0.00	-0.06	17	57%	0.18	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.19
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.15	-0.00	10	42%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	11	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	11	33%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	25.4	15.5	26.8	1.8	34.6	129.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +49.2%

WAS +31.5%

CHI -29.6%

CHI -0.0%

CHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	17.4	14.5	15.4	95.6	98.9	104.1
season	16.6	15.1		101.7	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.2		101.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.7	17.1	17.5	17.3	17.4
WAS	13.7	16.4	12.5	15.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	47	48	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.07	5	-9	14	18.4	16.3	2.17	14.8	14.0	0.81
Taj Gibson	17	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	17.5	17.4	0.17	15.6	14.2	1.40
Daequan Cook	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	0	-4	16.7	17.8	-1.09	14.6	14.4	0.20
Luol Deng	77	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-4	4	17.2	18.6	-1.43	14.6	13.6	0.93
Carlos Boozer	66	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	1	-6	17.8	16.2	1.55	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Jimmy Butler	78	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	1	-6	17.3	17.9	-0.61	14.5	14.2	0.23
Nate Robinson	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	2	-8	16.8	18.9	-2.09	14.7	13.9	0.81
Nazr Mohammed	69	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	1	-6	17.5	17.1	0.38	13.8	16.4	-2.58

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	69	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-3	10	14.1	15.5	-1.32	18.1	15.1	2.93
A.J. Price	38	36	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	3	-2	15.5	13.7	1.80	15.6	18.6	-2.92
Trevor Ariza	60	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	6	-8	15.4	12.7	2.69	16.7	18.7	-2.01
Trevor Booker	39	40	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	-2	8	13.8	15.0	-1.19	17.1	17.6	-0.48
Emeka Okafor	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	6	-8	13.8	15.0	-1.23	18.1	16.8	1.35
Bradley Beal	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.04	10	-6	16	14.5	14.4	0.03	16.9	18.1	-1.18
Kevin Seraphin	33	34	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-2	8	15.0	14.1	0.91	17.1	17.6	-0.53
Martell Webster	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	-6	16	13.1	15.5	-2.42	18.4	16.5	1.95
Nene	54	51	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.25	-6	10	-16	14.9	13.8	1.12	17.8	16.9	0.87
Garrett Temple	27	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.06	-10	14	-24	14.1	14.6	-0.43	17.8	17.2	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.54,0.71,0.54,0.68,0.58,1	92.9%
UTA 72, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.58,1	92.2%
TOR 83, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.43,0.58,1	91.6%