inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 83 Excitement8.5 [179] MVPBrian Grant (MIA): +17.2%
Miami Heat 89 Comeback3.2 [593] LVPCaron Butler (MIA): -38.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.050.07-0.020.00772%0.0500.00475%-0.00
Maceo Baston0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Bradley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00850%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mamadou N'diaye-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.00540%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Jelani McCoy-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.01-0.080.02865%-0.022-0.06475%0.02
Morris Peterson-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.01,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.011335%-0.033-0.0800%0.00
Alvin Williams-0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.140.01-0.16-0.021262%-0.083-0.062100%0.02
Rafer Alston-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.05-0.011015%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Chris Jefferies-0.210,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21-0.14-0.08-0.011838%-0.134-0.09333%-0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.080.090.001167%0.1700.002100%0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.070.07-0.080.15-0.00458%0.184-0.11475%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01571%0.061-0.044100%0.02
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.03-0.01643%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Ken Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.01850%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01550%-0.021-0.022100%0.00
Sean Lampley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.001041%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.070.00430%-0.081-0.05250%-0.02
Rasual Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.11-0.021242%-0.091-0.04250%-0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.42,-0.39-0.39-0.12-0.260.001437%-0.303-0.094100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.72.430.816.621.72.432.6128.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +16.4%
MIA +8.8%
MIA +10.8%
MIA +5.5%
MIA +8.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game16.414.915.590.296.7101.6
season16.216.398.894.6
opponent15.915.3100.7105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.715.017.319.216.4
MIA16.714.412.716.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Bradley4142-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-7816.116.7-0.5915.114.70.40
Maceo Baston56-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-3018.816.32.5112.815.0-2.19
Mamadou N'diaye2525-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-6616.616.40.2416.314.41.92
Morris Peterson7373-0.23-0.270.03-0.292-81016.416.6-0.2015.313.31.97
Rafer Alston3837-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.02-126-1816.816.20.5815.414.60.79
Jerome Williams4644-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.30-4-2-216.516.40.0715.014.80.14
Chris Jefferies8787-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.33-4-2-216.515.41.0814.815.6-0.76
Jelani McCoy6767-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.27-60-616.416.6-0.2414.416.3-1.92
Alvin Williams7879-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.33-4-2-216.217.5-1.2714.318.2-3.90

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaPhonso Ellis47470.75-0.251.000.3115-92413.316.6-3.2816.816.00.74
Anthony Carter58580.63-0.130.760.3111-51614.216.0-1.7816.316.6-0.31
Rasual Butler61600.63-0.130.760.2812-61814.116.5-2.3716.117.0-0.88
Caron Butler63630.380.120.260.3224-214.415.8-1.3816.416.40.01
Brian Grant61590.270.230.030.32-28-1015.214.21.0415.917.4-1.51
Sean Lampley31320.150.35-0.21-0.0051415.514.60.9616.816.20.55
Vladimir Stepania27260.110.39-0.280.0233015.614.61.0118.815.53.32
Malik Allen3737-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-17-816.014.11.9216.116.7-0.62
Ken Johnson1012-0.120.62-0.74-0.00-410-1414.914.90.0212.717.0-4.32
Mike James3132-0.130.63-0.760.04-612-1816.514.12.3717.016.10.88
Travis Best3434-0.130.63-0.760.01-511-1616.014.21.7816.616.30.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.43,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 83, CHA 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.41,191.7%
CHI 86, WAS 900.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.73,191.6%
WAS 102, BOS 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.57,0.42,191.3%