inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 72 Excitement7.9 [266] MVPVoshon Lenard (MIA): +18.4%
Miami Heat 74 Comeback3.0 [413] LVPKarl Malone (UTA): -25.5%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quincy Lewis0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.01590%0.1100.0000%0.00
Jeff Hornacek-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.11,-0.01-0.030.02-0.011055%0.073-0.082100%0.04
Adam Keefe-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01250%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.09-0.01225%-0.101-0.05450%-0.04
Bryon Russell-0.160,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.160.04-0.190.011060%-0.141-0.0100%0.00
Howard Eisley-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.07-0.00629%-0.082-0.0820%-0.03
Olden Polynice-0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.04-0.15-0.01633%-0.161-0.0200%0.00
John Stockton-0.240,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24-0.09-0.16-0.02737%-0.103-0.132100%0.03
Karl Malone-0.250,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25-0.13-0.13-0.001851%-0.037-0.22520%-0.10

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.180.18-0.020.19-0.011439%0.1800.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.001354%0.101-0.0600%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.001357%0.072-0.072100%0.01
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Rex Walters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00333%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rodney Buford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01743%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.04-0.00837%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.14-0.08-0.001550%0.037-0.24475%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.826.014.822.81.730.4121.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +67.9%
MIA +1.0%
UTA -11.8%
MIA +13.0%
UTA -20.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMIANBAUTAMIANBA
this game16.917.015.284.787.1101.7
season16.315.7104.5101.2
opponent15.915.298.2100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.715.818.618.716.9
MIA17.216.918.315.417.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adam Keefe20190.03-0.530.550.030-2217.616.70.8915.317.4-2.12
Quincy Lewis3030-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-2215.317.8-2.4515.417.8-2.42
Greg Ostertag2726-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-1016.517.1-0.6415.517.6-2.17
Jacque Vaughn1920-0.12-0.380.25-0.06-20-217.616.70.8515.517.4-1.92
Howard Eisley5859-0.19-0.310.11-0.08-42-615.220.6-5.4416.019.1-3.04
John Stockton4543-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.340-2218.115.62.4418.315.62.61
Jeff Hornacek4848-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.402-4617.715.91.7217.616.21.37
Olden Polynice5657-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.40-20-217.216.40.7617.615.71.86
Karl Malone6768-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.44-1-1016.717.8-1.1617.514.92.60
Bryon Russell5555-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.44-20-217.815.32.4517.815.42.42

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Majerle74750.52-0.020.530.433-1417.414.13.3017.214.92.29
Anthony Carter67670.51-0.010.530.346-41016.917.1-0.1218.012.95.11
P.J. Brown65640.430.070.360.46-13-417.614.92.6317.016.80.21
Voshon Lenard67670.360.140.220.3602-217.813.83.9717.714.03.70
Alonzo Mourning54550.330.170.170.39-24-617.116.60.5018.015.03.02
Otis Thorpe36350.250.250.000.057-51216.117.6-1.4315.917.6-1.66
Rex Walters23230.220.28-0.070.1620215.417.5-2.1614.217.9-3.76
Mark Strickland1110-0.020.52-0.530.01-13-414.117.4-3.3014.917.2-2.29
Clar. Weatherspoon1516-0.020.52-0.54-0.0202-215.617.3-1.6615.217.3-2.13
Rodney Buford1313-0.090.59-0.680.03-46-1015.517.2-1.6812.217.8-5.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 86, WAS 900.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.73,192.2%
UTA 92, HOU 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.54,0.71,0.54,0.68,0.58,191.7%
MIN 82, NJN 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.77,0.74,191.5%