NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	82		Excitement	8.0 [261]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (NJN): +27.8%
New Jersey Nets	86		Comeback	6.8 [408]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -21.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	14	71%	0.30	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.05
Mark Blount	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	12	53%	0.05	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Marcus Banks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.04
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	12	40%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	7	19%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.09,0.09,0.28	0.28	-0.03	0.30	-0.01	11	45%	0.32	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	51%	0.06	1	-0.04	13	69%	-0.03
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.07	0.02	12	59%	0.02	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	15	38%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.22,-0.16,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	18	48%	0.02	6	-0.23	8	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.6	30.5	15.0	27.2	2.4	41.9	146.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +33.7%

MIN -13.0%

NJN +36.5%

MIN -10.0%

NJN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NJN	NBA	MIN	NJN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.6	15.6	91.1	92.5	104.4
season	16.1	15.7		101.0	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.9		100.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	16.6	16.5	16.7	15.8
NJN	15.6	17.7	14.9	14.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	32	32	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.00	7	-11	18	17.0	15.2	1.81	16.8	15.0	1.83
Anthony Carter	12	13	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-5	6	17.7	15.6	2.12	18.3	15.2	3.10
Ronald Dupree	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-1	-2	0.0	16.0	-16.01	20.0	15.6	4.40
Mark Blount	76	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-5	6	15.0	20.6	-5.61	15.8	14.8	1.02
Rashad McCants	16	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	4	-12	14.8	16.1	-1.24	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Eddie Griffin	25	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	0	-4	17.4	15.2	2.11	17.3	15.1	2.26
Marko Jaric	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-4	4	15.2	17.6	-2.33	14.8	17.8	-3.00
Ricky Davis	72	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-3	2	15.8	15.8	0.00	15.4	16.8	-1.44
Marcus Banks	80	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	2	-8	15.9	15.0	0.94	15.4	17.7	-2.30
Kevin Garnett	69	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	3	-10	16.3	14.3	2.02	15.4	16.4	-0.95

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	72	70	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.43	14	-10	24	15.3	16.7	-1.38	16.3	14.0	2.29
Vince Carter	80	76	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.44	9	-5	14	15.1	18.8	-3.63	16.4	12.6	3.78
Nenad Krstic	67	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-5	14	15.4	16.2	-0.81	16.5	13.8	2.70
Clifford Robinson	55	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-1	6	15.4	16.0	-0.60	14.2	18.2	-3.95
Jason Collins	37	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	6	-8	15.9	15.5	0.36	16.9	15.1	1.71
Richard Jefferson	82	80	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	8	-12	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.2	21.1	-5.92
Jacque Vaughn	27	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	5	-6	15.0	15.9	-0.86	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Lamond Murray	24	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	8	-12	17.7	14.9	2.72	15.9	15.8	0.10
Zoran Planinic	21	20	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.08	-6	10	-16	18.1	14.9	3.16	15.6	15.9	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.77,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.31,0.63,0.85,0.91,1	92.3%
ATL 83, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.84,1	91.7%
UTA 72, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.58,1	91.5%