NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	83		Excitement	7.2 [394]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +14.7%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	4.3 [517]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (ATL): -19.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.1,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	18	62%	0.28	5	-0.24	6	83%	0.04
Emanual Davis	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	8	76%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Cal Bowdler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	12	40%	-0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	3	12%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.13	0.02	21	58%	0.27	2	-0.12	8	75%	-0.07
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	13	67%	0.17	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.07	0.02	18	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	32.0	15.8	26.4	2.4	34.5	135.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.6%

ATL -28.1%

NYK +22.8%

NYK +0.8%

NYK +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	18.2	16.3	15.6	98.8	106.0	102.3
season	15.5	15.9		99.7	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.2		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	17.4	20.3	19.8	18.2
NYK	15.4	16.1	15.7	18.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	43	43	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.06	8	-13	21	19.7	16.7	2.94	17.1	15.3	1.81
Cal Bowdler	44	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-11	17	18.2	18.2	-0.02	16.6	15.9	0.74
Emanual Davis	63	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-3	1	16.9	22.1	-5.17	15.1	19.6	-4.43
Hanno Mottola	17	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	17.9	18.3	-0.34	18.6	15.6	2.92
Nazr Mohammed	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	1	-7	17.3	18.8	-1.55	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Jacque Vaughn	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-8	11	19.4	16.8	2.60	17.4	14.9	2.58
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.37	-7	2	-9	18.7	14.6	4.10	15.9	18.7	-2.81
Jason Terry	60	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	6	-17	18.7	17.1	1.58	16.5	15.6	0.96
Dion Glover	41	40	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.30	-13	8	-21	16.7	19.7	-2.94	15.3	17.1	-1.81

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	59	62	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-6	17	16.1	16.6	-0.45	18.8	16.7	2.08
Allan Houston	69	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-4	13	16.1	16.9	-0.80	18.0	19.5	-1.54
Marcus Camby	64	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-5	15	15.4	19.3	-3.96	17.9	19.2	-1.37
Latrell Sprewell	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	-2	9	16.5	15.1	1.35	17.8	20.1	-2.34
Mark Jackson	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	-2	9	15.3	18.5	-3.20	17.7	19.4	-1.62
Howard Eisley	22	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	6	-7	17.9	15.7	2.24	19.7	17.7	1.98
Othella Harrington	31	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	10	-15	18.2	15.1	3.03	17.4	18.7	-1.30
Shandon Anderson	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	12	-19	16.7	16.0	0.63	19.6	17.4	2.16
Travis Knight	12	10	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	11	-17	16.8	16.2	0.66	19.6	18.0	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.77,0.74,1	91.7%
ORL 99, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.86,0.84,1	90.3%
VAN 87, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.89,0.9,0.91,1	90.2%