inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 99 Excitement8.2 [226] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +45.1%
Miami Heat 101 Comeback9.6 [518] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -12.6%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glen Davis0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.240.060.18-0.001359%0.372-0.13875%0.01
Victor Oladipo0.130,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.130.100.030.00868%0.151-0.03989%0.03
E'Twaun Moore0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.14-0.000.015140%0.172-0.0500%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08-0.000.06-0.02955%0.102-0.03250%-0.01
Solomon Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.02-0.00320%-0.0300.00450%-0.04
Maurice Harkless-0.050,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.01-0.03828%-0.012-0.0420%-0.05
Arron Afflalo-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,-0.090.00-0.09-0.001750%-0.032-0.062100%0.03
Jameer Nelson-0.130,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.060.011055%0.045-0.162100%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.450.450.070.38-0.011367%0.513-0.06771%0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.360.360.150.21-0.001664%0.381-0.031090%0.05
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.10.100.010.100.011352%0.172-0.083100%0.03
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.02475%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.000.02490%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.01750%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.00-0.00542%0.021-0.042100%0.02
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.00831%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.725.715.026.71.839.9136.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +33.0%
ORL -0.6%
ORL -14.5%
MIA +29.7%
MIA +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game15.115.515.1105.3107.4105.2
season15.315.6100.4109.7
opponent15.815.0105.1105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.616.314.117.115.1
MIA13.618.914.715.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
E'Twaun Moore41410.35-0.851.19-0.0413-152815.315.00.3016.514.71.73
Andrew Nicholson35350.26-0.761.01-0.019-112015.514.90.5416.914.72.22
Solomon Jones660.09-0.590.68-0.034-61014.315.2-0.8714.015.6-1.59
Victor Oladipo5455-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-1014.615.9-1.3515.215.9-0.79
Glen Davis5051-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.532-4615.514.70.7515.815.10.64
Arron Afflalo8080-0.510.01-0.52-0.33-64-1015.016.1-1.0815.217.1-1.94
Nikola Vucevic6260-0.600.10-0.71-0.37-86-1415.414.60.8415.016.4-1.35
Maurice Harkless6766-0.650.15-0.79-0.32-119-2015.214.90.3115.515.5-0.07
Jameer Nelson7576-0.650.15-0.79-0.29-1210-2215.015.7-0.7415.216.8-1.59

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh63640.93-0.431.360.5214-122614.517.5-3.0715.314.90.41
Dwyane Wade66660.85-0.351.200.676-41016.114.02.0715.414.50.92
LeBron James74760.51-0.010.520.307-51215.116.9-1.8614.916.3-1.40
Ray Allen50490.480.020.470.4802-215.415.6-0.1515.914.31.61
Norris Cole49490.430.070.360.46-13-416.514.42.0515.814.51.27
Shane Battier42430.260.240.02-0.0611-92015.015.9-0.8815.115.2-0.15
Mario Chalmers45450.070.43-0.36-0.023-1414.416.5-2.0514.515.8-1.27
Michael Beasley1616-0.170.67-0.850.00-68-1412.516.1-3.6014.415.3-0.86
Rashard Lewis3432-0.430.93-1.36-0.08-1214-2617.314.52.7814.515.5-0.98
Chris Andersen3130-0.430.93-1.36-0.08-1214-2617.514.53.0714.915.3-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.86,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 103, WAS 1050.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.78,0.73,192.7%
MEM 94, MIN 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.84,0.73,192.3%
NOH 117, ORL 1230.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.22,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,192.0%