NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	7.2 [336]		MVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): +29.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	7.4 [362]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -19.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	15	59%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.14
Javaris Crittenton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	17	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	23	46%	-0.01	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.12	0.03	10	37%	-0.15	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.17	0.00	16	66%	0.37	3	-0.08	12	75%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.15	0.03	12	41%	0.11	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.10	0.00	12	46%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	7	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	19	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	7	14%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	34.6	16.4	32.5	2.5	40.3	150.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +20.4%

MIN +21.3%

MIN +0.5%

MIN +2.7%

MIN +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.7	15.4	96.9	102.1	105.7
season	14.9	15.9		103.3	102.2
opponent	15.0	14.9		109.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.5	13.4	16.0	13.8	14.2
MIN	17.8	16.0	15.3	13.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	46	44	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.11	6	-10	16	13.2	15.1	-1.84	14.9	16.3	-1.48
Javaris Crittenton	22	22	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-9	14	14.8	14.0	0.76	14.5	16.0	-1.45
Darko Milicic	50	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-3	2	14.2	14.2	0.03	17.3	13.8	3.49
Juan Carlos Navarro	58	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-3	2	13.9	14.6	-0.63	15.7	15.6	0.16
Jason Collins	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-2	0	14.6	13.9	0.63	14.6	16.3	-1.71
Kwame Brown	4	4	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	0	-4	19.0	14.0	5.02	19.5	15.5	4.00
Rudy Gay	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-3	2	14.4	13.1	1.29	15.8	14.8	1.03
Hakim Warrick	61	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-1	-2	14.5	13.6	0.87	15.8	15.4	0.39
Mike Miller	70	69	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.50	-10	6	-16	13.7	15.5	-1.85	15.4	16.3	-0.82
Mike Conley	55	55	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.53	-9	5	-14	14.4	14.0	0.41	15.5	15.9	-0.41

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	59	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-1	6	15.6	15.8	-0.23	14.4	13.8	0.61
Kirk Snyder	59	62	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-1	6	15.1	16.6	-1.55	15.1	12.5	2.57
Al Jefferson	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	-2	8	16.8	12.6	4.20	14.7	12.6	2.14
Randy Foye	73	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	4	-4	15.6	16.0	-0.38	13.9	15.2	-1.35
Rashad McCants	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	5	-6	14.9	17.0	-2.10	13.7	15.0	-1.34
Marko Jaric	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-5	14	16.6	14.3	2.32	15.1	12.8	2.34
Craig Smith	29	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	3	-2	15.6	15.7	-0.07	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Chris Richard	28	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	4	-4	15.8	15.6	0.22	13.1	14.6	-1.44
Corey Brewer	42	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	9	-14	14.7	16.4	-1.69	12.1	15.6	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.86,0.84,1	92.3%
CLE 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.72,1	91.6%
CHI 83, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.63,0.83,0.83,1	90.5%