NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	83		Excitement	7.6 [284]		MVP	Juan Dixon (WAS): +8.5%
Washington Wizards	93		Comeback	11.4 [190]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -23.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.06	-0.02	9	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	12	42%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	10	40%	0.02	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23	-0.03	-0.19	0.01	12	58%	-0.06	4	-0.17	2	0%	-0.05
Jamal Crawford	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.24,-0.24	-0.06	-0.18	0.00	17	46%	-0.19	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.01	16	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Mitchell Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.04	-0.04	19	32%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	2	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	6	57%	-0.03	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.15,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	0.02	25	46%	-0.08	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	0.2	27.6	15.6	23.3	2.4	31.5	123.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -2.3%

WAS +16.1%

WAS +10.1%

WAS +27.4%

CHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	15.7	86.5	96.9	100.5
season	15.2	15.2		94.6	96.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		102.4	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.2	12.0	16.3	17.5	14.4
WAS	17.3	15.1	15.0	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	58	58	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.18	5	-15	20	14.0	14.8	-0.81	16.3	14.7	1.64
Corie Blount	37	35	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.19	-4	-6	2	13.5	14.9	-1.32	12.9	17.2	-4.30
Rick Brunson	8	8	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-13	16	9.9	14.8	-4.89	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Kendall Gill	52	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.14	-6	-4	-2	14.2	14.5	-0.31	14.9	16.6	-1.65
Jerome Williams	35	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	0	-10	13.2	15.0	-1.77	15.9	15.5	0.33
Eddy Curry	52	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-9	8	14.4	14.3	0.11	17.0	13.9	3.05
Scottie Pippen	17	17	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	18.2	13.5	4.72	16.2	15.5	0.72
Kirk Hinrich	89	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.17	-13	3	-16	14.7	10.6	4.08	15.5	17.0	-1.46
Jamal Crawford	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	0	-10	14.3	14.4	-0.08	15.8	15.0	0.81
Antonio Davis	60	59	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	-3	-4	15.0	13.3	1.68	15.8	15.4	0.39

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	60	60	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.26	17	-7	24	15.1	16.5	-1.32	15.5	12.4	3.14
Etan Thomas	53	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-2	14	15.5	15.8	-0.30	14.6	14.1	0.52
Kwame Brown	61	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	1	8	15.4	16.1	-0.65	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Steve Blake	89	89	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	0	10	15.7	15.6	0.08	14.6	11.1	3.46
Jarvis Hayes	79	80	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	3	4	15.3	17.2	-1.86	14.6	13.2	1.33
Brendan Haywood	26	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	3	4	15.7	15.6	0.12	15.9	13.7	2.19
Larry Hughes	77	77	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.20	9	1	8	16.0	14.1	1.99	14.3	14.7	-0.41
Mitchell Butler	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	13	-16	13.2	16.0	-2.74	9.8	15.1	-5.30
Jared Jeffries	23	22	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.18	-18	28	-46	18.8	14.6	4.18	11.5	15.2	-3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.63,0.83,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.67,0.99,1	93.2%
DET 95, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.84,1	91.5%
PHX 102, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.47,0.71,0.85,0.87,1	91.4%