NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	109		Excitement	7.7 [297]		MVP	Eddie Griffin (HOU): +33.4%
Houston Rockets	112		Comeback	13.4 [138]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -20.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.09,0.18,0.13,0.17	0.18	0.05	0.05	31	63%	0.23	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	10	71%	0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.11
Chris Childs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.21	-0.06	-0.16	-0.02	13	38%	-0.07	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.19	-0.01	11	77%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	19	59%	0.21	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	25	61%	0.20	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.05
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	1	25%	-0.09	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	32.7	15.6	27.4	2.3	39.5	140.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.1%

HOU +11.9%

HOU +0.6%

TOR -6.0%

TOR -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.6	121.1	125.8	102.3
season	16.2	16.8		100.3	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		106.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	16.0	16.5	14.9	15.7
HOU	16.8	19.1	14.0	16.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	31	28	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-8	13	15.9	15.5	0.36	18.4	15.7	2.69
Morris Peterson	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	3	-9	15.5	15.7	-0.23	14.7	17.2	-2.42
Keon Clark	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.43	7	-10	17	15.7	15.7	0.01	17.6	15.5	2.01
Alvin Williams	73	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-8	13	15.4	16.8	-1.43	15.8	19.6	-3.71
Hakeem Olajuwon	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	7	-17	15.8	15.5	0.28	15.7	17.5	-1.80
Jerome Williams	59	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	0	-3	15.7	15.6	0.13	17.2	15.2	1.99
Antonio Davis	88	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	0	-3	15.6	19.0	-3.41	16.5	19.0	-2.54
Vince Carter	83	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	7	-17	15.8	13.7	2.12	16.5	16.5	0.02

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	75	77	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.56	5	-2	7	15.6	21.2	-5.57	15.3	17.8	-2.46
Walt Williams	55	56	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-5	13	16.3	16.9	-0.59	15.9	15.2	0.69
Cuttino Mobley	71	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-10	23	16.2	17.7	-1.51	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Kenny Thomas	83	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-2	7	16.4	18.7	-2.31	15.4	18.7	-3.30
Eddie Griffin	49	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.50	-7	10	-17	17.6	15.2	2.35	15.1	16.3	-1.19
Kelvin Cato	45	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.13	8	-5	13	15.7	17.4	-1.72	16.6	14.7	1.97
Terence Morris	20	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.11	2	1	1	17.3	16.3	1.01	16.3	15.5	0.88
Kevin Willis	15	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	13	-23	16.3	16.6	-0.30	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Moochie Norris	32	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.02	-9	12	-21	19.2	15.0	4.27	16.3	15.3	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.67,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.63,0.83,0.83,1	93.2%
BOS 84, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	92.8%
WAS 107, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.22,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	92.3%