NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	95		Excitement	7.1 [357]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +44.9%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	11.8 [131]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -9.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.2,0.19	0.05	0.14	0.00	19	54%	0.22	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Jason Maxiell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	-0.01	-0.06	15	60%	0.14	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	15	41%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	13	31%	-0.02	1	-0.05	10	70%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.43,0.32,0.45	0.45	0.15	0.31	0.02	18	67%	0.45	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.07	0.00	7	79%	0.21	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.06
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.12	0.01	6	54%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	9	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.07
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.05	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	26.0	14.8	26.1	2.5	38.6	132.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.1%

DET -13.3%

UTA +15.2%

UTA +6.5%

DET -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	16.1	15.4	108.0	114.4	105.7
season	16.8	15.5		108.8	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.8		105.0	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.5	16.3	19.0	14.7	16.3
UTA	16.4	17.1	15.3	15.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	19	21	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-9	10	14.9	16.7	-1.73	16.1	16.0	0.05
Rodney Stuckey	23	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-10	12	17.1	16.0	1.06	19.2	14.9	4.24
Richard Hamilton	76	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.39	7	-15	22	15.7	20.0	-4.28	15.9	17.3	-1.47
Rasheed Wallace	73	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-10	12	15.7	19.1	-3.33	16.3	14.9	1.33
Antonio McDyess	62	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	16.4	16.0	0.44	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Arron Afflalo	12	12	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	7	-22	20.0	15.7	4.28	17.3	15.9	1.47
Jason Maxiell	40	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	1	-10	17.3	15.4	1.91	16.5	15.8	0.73
Chauncey Billups	65	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	2	-12	16.0	17.1	-1.06	14.9	19.2	-4.24
Tayshaun Prince	70	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	3	-14	16.6	15.3	1.22	15.7	17.3	-1.53

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	66	65	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-4	16	15.2	18.4	-3.22	16.6	15.5	1.12
Matt Harpring	44	45	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	3	2	16.2	15.9	0.25	15.1	17.5	-2.40
Deron Williams	75	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-1	10	16.0	16.3	-0.33	16.0	17.5	-1.52
Ronnie Brewer	65	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	0	8	15.2	18.4	-3.19	16.4	16.0	0.37
Mehmet Okur	77	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	9	-10	16.6	12.5	4.11	15.9	18.1	-2.12
Paul Millsap	37	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	3	2	16.4	15.8	0.50	16.5	16.2	0.34
Kyle Korver	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	8	-8	18.4	15.2	3.19	16.0	16.4	-0.37
Ronnie Price	15	17	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	9	-10	16.3	16.0	0.33	17.5	16.0	1.52
Andrei Kirilenko	46	43	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	5	-2	15.9	16.2	-0.25	17.5	15.1	2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 84, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	92.0%
PHX 102, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.47,0.71,0.85,0.87,1	91.8%
PHX 91, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.91,1	91.7%