NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	9.0 [103]		MVP	Oliver Miller (TOR): +22.5%
Toronto Raptors	91		Comeback	5.8 [129]		LVP	Tim Thomas (PHI): -32.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	15	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Theo Ratliff	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.09	-0.12	-0.04	9	40%	-0.01	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	12	50%	0.02	5	-0.23	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.33	-0.09	-0.24	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	6	-0.36	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oliver Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.26,-0.26,0.23	0.23	-0.04	0.26	0.00	8	50%	0.27	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.09	0.00	15	72%	0.16	3	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	7	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	9	22%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.15	0.02	16	56%	-0.04	7	-0.21	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.8	29.2	14.7	24.3	2.5	39.3	134.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +34.6%

PHI -5.9%

TOR +4.5%

TOR +19.5%

PHI -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	15.6	90.6	95.8	102.5
season	15.4	15.5		99.7	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.5		108.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	12.9	15.2	13.8	14.3
TOR	14.5	14.9	15.5	18.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	36	36	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.02	8	-12	20	15.8	13.4	2.36	14.5	16.7	-2.24
Tim Thomas	63	64	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.05	2	-6	8	14.1	14.7	-0.65	15.9	15.8	0.08
Terry Cummings	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	13.7	14.5	-0.75	14.1	16.4	-2.27
Aaron McKie	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-3	2	13.0	14.9	-1.91	14.4	16.6	-2.19
Eric Snow	22	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-11	18	14.0	14.4	-0.39	15.2	16.0	-0.84
Allen Iverson	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	2	-8	14.8	13.3	1.45	16.1	15.2	0.97
Derrick Coleman	75	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	0	-4	14.5	13.7	0.75	16.3	14.2	2.09
Jim Jackson	73	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	4	-12	14.5	13.6	0.97	16.4	14.1	2.29
Theo Ratliff	59	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.36	-10	6	-16	13.6	15.4	-1.71	16.9	14.2	2.79
Mark Davis	34	32	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.45	-9	5	-14	14.3	14.3	-0.01	15.5	16.0	-0.55

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	51	53	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-8	20	14.5	17.5	-2.96	15.1	13.3	1.73
Oliver Miller	48	50	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-1	6	14.4	17.4	-2.97	14.5	14.1	0.45
Damon Stoudamire	86	87	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	16.2	12.3	3.90	13.9	18.0	-4.08
Doug Christie	82	81	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	-1	6	16.0	15.2	0.73	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Marcus Camby	76	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	6	-8	16.1	14.8	1.28	13.8	16.3	-2.52
John Wallace	17	19	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.14	1	3	-2	15.2	16.0	-0.84	15.1	14.1	0.94
Carlos Rogers	50	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	7	-10	16.8	14.8	2.06	14.3	14.3	-0.05
Reggie Slater	28	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	3	-2	17.9	15.0	2.83	15.6	13.7	1.89
Zan Tabak	37	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	7	-10	15.5	16.1	-0.53	13.6	14.8	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.77,0.61,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.37,0.22,0.18,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.75,0.45,0.24,0.42,1	91.8%
PHI 91, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.28,1	90.7%
BOS 103, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	89.5%