NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	9.4 [81]		MVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): +26.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	2.4 [594]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -26.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.24	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.15	0.04	26	65%	0.29	2	-0.05	14	86%	0.04
Mark Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Tim Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	6	37%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	5	30%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	6	33%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	20	40%	-0.18	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.22	0.01	19	60%	0.29	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.10	0.02	13	78%	0.26	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.08
Micheal Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.10
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.12	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.15	0.01	15	63%	0.05	6	-0.28	11	55%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.5	29.2	0.2	53.0	1.4	43.2	158.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +76.0%

MIN +8.5%

PHI -11.6%

PHI -23.6%

MIN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	15.6	102.0	107.0	102.5
season	15.4	14.8		99.7	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	13.3	16.4	16.0	14.8
MIN	14.0	14.3	14.2	13.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	72	71	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-9	13	15.0	14.4	0.58	14.5	12.8	1.69
Joe Smith	37	38	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-10	15	15.1	14.7	0.43	14.0	14.0	0.06
Scott Williams	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-5	5	15.0	14.7	0.21	13.5	14.2	-0.73
Mark Davis	1	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-3	1	2.0	14.9	-12.94	33.0	13.8	19.20
Derrick Coleman	91	90	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	14.8	14.9	-0.09	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Tim Thomas	20	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	8	-21	14.8	14.8	0.05	13.1	14.2	-1.13
Theo Ratliff	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	2	-9	14.5	15.6	-1.14	14.5	12.8	1.65
Aaron McKie	63	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	0	-5	14.1	16.0	-1.85	13.8	14.3	-0.50
Allen Iverson	91	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	0	-5	15.3	9.7	5.65	13.8	16.0	-2.18
Anthony Parker	26	24	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	15.1	14.7	0.36	13.1	14.3	-1.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	94	93	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-3	11	14.1	12.0	2.12	14.8	15.6	-0.82
Stephon Marbury	89	89	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	14.1	13.2	0.91	15.0	13.3	1.73
Anthony Peeler	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-3	11	13.6	15.9	-2.35	14.8	14.9	-0.16
Sam Mitchell	87	86	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-1	7	13.8	15.3	-1.51	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Terry Porter	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	5	-5	14.6	13.3	1.23	15.0	14.6	0.44
Cherokee Parks	42	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	2	1	14.1	13.9	0.14	15.7	14.1	1.56
Micheal Williams	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	6	-7	14.6	14.0	0.64	11.4	15.0	-3.59
Reggie Jordan	25	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	10	-15	14.0	14.0	-0.04	14.8	14.8	-0.06
Bill Curley	22	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	8	-11	13.7	14.1	-0.40	13.4	15.2	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 66, UTA 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.55,0.57,1	92.6%
PHI 91, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.28,1	92.1%
SAS 90, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.55,0.55,0.42,1	91.8%