NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	66		Excitement	6.9 [394]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +15.6%
Utah Jazz	68		Comeback	2.0 [1032]		LVP	Khalid Reeves (DAL): -34.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	14	64%	0.18	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.13
Dennis Scott	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	-0.01	0.01	10	87%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	13	31%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	6	33%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.02	8	12%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.34	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.2,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.13	-0.21	0.00	11	38%	-0.15	4	-0.19	4	50%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	81%	0.16	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	15	68%	0.16	5	-0.20	4	75%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.17	5	100%	0.05
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	40%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.12	-0.06	4	50%	0.10	3	-0.22	2	100%	0.05
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	6	35%	-0.06	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	45.7	2.5	23.3	14.8	25.2	2.6	33.8	147.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.6%

UTA +29.2%

UTA +16.5%

DAL -28.3%

UTA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	23.7	14.7	15.6	88.0	90.7	102.5
season	15.8	15.9		98.3	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	22.1	26.3	21.1	25.4	23.7
UTA	14.6	12.9	18.9	12.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	11	9	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-4	6	29.7	22.7	7.04	10.4	15.3	-4.81
Erick Strickland	20	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	4	-10	24.8	23.3	1.47	10.2	16.4	-6.17
Khalid Reeves	57	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.51	5	-7	12	22.6	27.4	-4.83	15.8	11.3	4.51
Dennis Scott	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-1	0	23.8	23.0	0.77	15.4	5.2	10.16
Hubert Davis	75	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	23.7	0.0	23.72	14.7	0.0	14.68
Michael Finley	75	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	23.7	0.0	23.72	14.7	0.0	14.68
A.C. Green	67	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.45	-6	4	-10	23.3	26.9	-3.53	15.0	11.3	3.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	35	35	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-3	8	15.5	14.0	1.46	21.4	25.8	-4.40
Karl Malone	62	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-3	8	15.2	12.4	2.78	22.7	28.0	-5.26
Shandon Anderson	38	37	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-2	6	12.7	16.7	-3.99	25.9	21.6	4.23
Jeff Hornacek	51	51	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	2	-2	15.8	12.4	3.39	21.6	28.2	-6.60
Bryon Russell	45	45	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	0	2	13.9	15.9	-1.98	25.4	21.3	4.09
Antoine Carr	21	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-3	8	11.4	15.9	-4.52	27.8	22.1	5.68
Greg Foster	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	2	-2	15.3	14.2	1.07	23.4	24.0	-0.65
Howard Eisley	40	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	5	-8	14.0	15.5	-1.46	25.8	21.4	4.40
Adam Keefe	49	50	-0.14	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	10	-18	16.2	11.8	4.34	22.5	26.1	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.55,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.42,1	92.6%
BOS 93, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.63,0.55,0.74,1	92.1%
DEN 96, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.45,0.85,1	91.8%