NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	8.8 [155]		MVP	Eric Williams (BOS): +14.4%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	2.4 [674]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -38.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	9	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
J.R. Bremer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	4	37%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.10	-0.05	0.02	9	78%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.06,0,0,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	10	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.27,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.10	-0.04	0.04	17	63%	0.13	8	-0.31	20	75%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.38,-0.38	-0.13	-0.26	-0.01	20	33%	-0.31	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	61%	0.10	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.11	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.04	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	13	47%	0.03	4	-0.17	6	100%	0.08
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	14	57%	-0.04	5	-0.16	9	78%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.5	31.5	19.4	27.4	3.4	43.3	155.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +8.4%

NJN +27.0%

NJN +37.1%

BOS -18.2%

BOS -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	15.5	96.9	100.0	101.6
season	15.6	15.0		99.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		96.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	15.6	14.4	16.8	15.5
NJN	17.4	13.2	14.4	12.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	25	25	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-8	12	14.4	15.9	-1.56	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Grant Long	7	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	0	-4	15.9	15.5	0.37	15.6	14.2	1.34
Eric Williams	51	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-16	28	15.0	16.1	-1.05	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Mark Blount	24	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	6	-16	15.8	15.4	0.43	13.7	14.5	-0.84
Antoine Walker	85	84	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-6	8	15.7	13.9	1.81	14.9	11.0	3.86
Walter McCarty	90	91	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-2	0	15.4	17.2	-1.77	14.2	15.8	-1.59
Tony Battie	36	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	4	-12	15.9	15.3	0.65	15.7	13.5	2.25
Paul Pierce	88	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	2	-8	15.7	13.2	2.47	14.2	16.2	-2.08
Tony Delk	74	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	4	-12	15.6	15.4	0.19	14.0	15.6	-1.62

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	34	35	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.43	8	-4	12	14.6	14.2	0.34	17.9	14.1	3.74
Kerry Kittles	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-6	16	13.5	16.8	-3.26	15.9	14.5	1.40
Richard Jefferson	79	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	-2	8	13.8	16.8	-3.06	15.6	15.3	0.22
Jason Kidd	86	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	0	4	14.3	14.7	-0.44	15.6	15.1	0.47
Rodney Rogers	48	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	-4	12	14.8	13.9	0.93	16.0	15.0	1.02
Kenyon Martin	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	8	-12	14.6	13.9	0.70	15.0	16.4	-1.39
Anthony Johnson	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	14.7	14.3	0.44	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Lucious Harris	31	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	12	-20	15.2	13.9	1.30	13.8	16.2	-2.41
Aaron Williams	60	58	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	8	-12	14.9	13.5	1.42	14.5	17.0	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.63,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 66, UTA 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.55,0.57,1	92.1%
CHI 111, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.5,0.49,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	91.8%
ORL 107, HOU 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	91.7%