NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	9.3 [89]		MVP	James Harden (OKC): +29.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Comeback	4.1 [365]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -33.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.27,0.36,0.23,0.23	0.05	0.17	-0.01	22	57%	0.40	3	-0.17	3	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	6	87%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.33	-0.03	-0.30	-0.00	19	45%	-0.27	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.07	0.22	-0.00	11	55%	0.29	0	0.00	7	100%	0.09
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.11	0.00	8	44%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.08
Daequan Cook	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	58%	0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.12	-0.02	20	46%	0.05	1	-0.15	12	83%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	18	48%	0.06	7	-0.20	10	90%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	26.6	15.5	26.3	2.7	38.3	136.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -12.0%

OKC +47.2%

DAL -1.5%

OKC +16.9%

DAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.6	100.0	103.3	102.8
season	15.5	14.7		101.6	107.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.8	15.5	15.4	16.3	15.7
OKC	14.2	16.5	14.6	18.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	49	52	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-8	12	15.7	15.8	-0.09	16.9	14.2	2.72
Sean Williams	6	5	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-5	6	17.5	15.6	1.89	19.4	15.5	3.87
Brendan Haywood	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-4	4	21.0	15.7	5.32	23.0	15.7	7.34
Rodrigue Beaubois	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-1	-2	15.8	15.7	0.11	16.0	15.6	0.38
Yi Jianlian	27	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	3	-10	16.4	15.5	0.90	13.3	16.7	-3.39
Jason Kidd	55	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-6	8	15.5	16.1	-0.57	15.8	15.6	0.21
Lamar Odom	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-10	16	15.1	16.5	-1.37	14.9	16.7	-1.89
Shawn Marion	66	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-1	-2	16.2	14.4	1.84	16.3	14.3	1.99
Jason Terry	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-6	8	16.0	14.8	1.21	15.8	15.5	0.35
Vince Carter	21	23	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	11	-26	15.1	15.9	-0.77	13.2	16.6	-3.36
Dirk Nowitzki	71	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	3	-10	15.3	17.3	-2.00	16.0	14.7	1.33

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	61	60	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-9	22	15.1	16.9	-1.76	16.6	14.1	2.54
Russell Westbrook	70	67	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-8	20	15.1	17.9	-2.79	16.3	14.2	2.08
Kevin Durant	78	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	3	-2	15.5	16.9	-1.40	15.2	18.5	-3.27
James Harden	64	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	4	-4	15.9	15.4	0.50	16.0	15.1	0.93
Serge Ibaka	69	69	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.38	-3	7	-10	16.5	13.4	3.07	15.7	15.7	0.01
Daequan Cook	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	-1	6	15.4	15.9	-0.50	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Nick Collison	46	46	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	1	2	15.7	15.8	-0.09	15.8	15.7	0.05
Royal Ivey	22	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	7	-10	15.8	15.7	0.10	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Reggie Jackson	22	24	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.01	-8	12	-20	17.9	15.1	2.79	14.2	16.3	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.81,0.72,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.28,1	91.9%
UTA 78, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,1	90.3%
DAL 96, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.75,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.45,0.42,1	90.2%