NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	78		Excitement	9.5 [77]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +4.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	79		Comeback	2.6 [217]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -39.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	8	19%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	4	50%	-0.12	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.09
Karl Malone	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.22	-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	15	39%	-0.03	2	-0.20	6	100%	0.09
Donyell Marshall	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27	-0.04	-0.23	0.00	13	53%	-0.10	3	-0.18	4	25%	-0.12
John Stockton	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.4	-0.11	-0.29	0.00	12	36%	-0.30	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	16	56%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.11
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Fontaine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	10	33%	-0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.13	0.01	20	37%	-0.18	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.0	31.2	15.4	21.5	2.5	31.4	127.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +43.8%

UTA -17.0%

UTA -13.1%

MEM +29.8%

MEM +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	15.6	89.7	90.8	102.3
season	16.1	15.7		102.9	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		103.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	16.5	17.7	16.4	16.7
MEM	13.7	17.8	15.0	19.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	18	18	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.03	9	-10	19	16.4	16.8	-0.38	14.0	17.0	-2.97
Scott Padgett	24	24	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-10	19	18.3	16.1	2.19	17.1	16.1	1.06
Andrei Kirilenko	42	43	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-7	13	16.3	17.2	-0.85	17.2	15.5	1.73
Greg Ostertag	37	37	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.28	11	-12	23	16.9	16.6	0.25	19.2	14.2	5.02
Rusty LaRue	32	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	4	-9	17.8	16.1	1.64	15.6	16.8	-1.15
John Stockton	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-5	9	16.1	17.8	-1.64	16.8	15.6	1.15
Jarron Collins	49	48	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	9	-19	17.0	16.5	0.49	14.7	18.4	-3.77
Bryon Russell	53	53	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.41	-9	8	-17	17.0	16.4	0.65	16.8	15.7	1.02
Karl Malone	72	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.42	-9	8	-17	16.2	19.4	-3.21	16.5	15.7	0.75
Donyell Marshall	53	53	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	10	-21	16.7	16.9	-0.17	15.0	18.4	-3.37

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	77	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-5	11	16.3	16.7	-0.39	16.6	18.1	-1.53
Jason Williams	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	1	-1	16.7	14.4	2.32	16.0	20.8	-4.73
Lorenzen Wright	59	59	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.46	-2	3	-5	16.9	15.2	1.68	16.0	18.4	-2.37
Grant Long	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.39	-1	2	-3	16.5	16.0	0.54	16.4	17.8	-1.37
Rodney Buford	27	27	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	2	-3	15.8	16.6	-0.79	18.0	16.2	1.82
Pau Gasol	68	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	3	-5	16.3	16.4	-0.08	15.8	19.9	-4.09
Tony Massenburg	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	-2	5	15.6	16.7	-1.16	18.4	16.0	2.37
Eddie Gill	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	0	1	14.4	16.7	-2.32	20.8	16.0	4.73
Stromile Swift	19	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	-2	5	16.4	16.3	0.08	19.9	15.8	4.09
Ike Fontaine	7	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	3	-5	16.1	16.4	-0.23	17.2	16.7	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.68,0.73,1	91.5%
SAS 90, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.55,0.55,0.42,1	91.4%
ATL 91, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.74,1	91.3%