NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	7.3 [369]		MVP	Michael Finley (SAS): +21.9%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	2.3 [977]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -29.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eduardo Najera	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	90%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.04	18	62%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Josh Boone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.1,-0.05,-0.05	0.06	-0.08	0.02	19	59%	0.18	4	-0.23	8	100%	0.05
Brook Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	17	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,-0.05,-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	7	33%	-0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.17	0.00	7	69%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.04	0.03	9	64%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.08	-0.02	8	47%	0.14	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.07	0.02	21	65%	0.19	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.21	0.00	16	45%	-0.08	4	-0.22	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.6	28.2	16.4	26.3	1.8	38.7	138.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +53.8%

NJN -1.0%

SAS +25.1%

NJN -30.2%

SAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAS	NBA	NJN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	17.4	15.5	103.4	110.6	106.4
season	16.0	16.4		106.5	106.6
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.9	16.9	16.4	15.7	15.9
SAS	17.2	20.1	16.4	16.3	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	45	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-6	9	16.3	15.5	0.84	18.0	16.8	1.17
Ryan Anderson	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	2	-7	17.1	15.4	1.66	18.0	17.1	0.89
Josh Boone	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-1	-1	16.5	15.7	0.77	17.4	17.4	0.04
Bobby Simmons	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	7	-17	16.1	15.8	0.28	18.1	16.9	1.28
Jarvis Hayes	51	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-7	11	15.6	16.3	-0.65	17.0	17.8	-0.80
Brook Lopez	66	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-4	5	15.7	16.5	-0.77	17.4	17.4	-0.04
Keyon Dooling	46	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-5	7	16.1	15.7	0.44	16.8	18.0	-1.21
Devin Harris	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	1	-5	15.9	16.1	-0.26	17.2	18.6	-1.43
Vince Carter	74	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	1	-5	15.3	19.4	-4.09	17.3	18.2	-0.89

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	64	67	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-10	23	16.5	20.2	-3.77	15.2	18.1	-2.92
Michael Finley	48	51	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-7	17	17.9	16.8	1.09	15.3	16.7	-1.40
Roger Mason Jr.	47	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-3	9	17.0	17.9	-0.85	16.3	15.3	0.99
Tim Duncan	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	0	3	17.3	17.7	-0.38	15.3	17.6	-2.29
Matt Bonner	47	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-8	19	17.6	17.1	0.49	16.4	15.3	1.12
Manu Ginobili	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	8	-13	16.3	18.6	-2.24	16.2	15.6	0.66
Bruce Bowen	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	7	-11	17.4	17.4	0.07	15.1	16.7	-1.66
Fabricio Oberto	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	3	-3	19.3	17.1	2.15	17.4	15.7	1.67
Kurt Thomas	37	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.21	-9	12	-21	17.9	17.0	0.87	16.8	15.3	1.53
George Hill	21	21	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	13	-23	20.2	16.5	3.77	18.1	15.2	2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.59,1	92.0%
DET 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.96,1	91.5%
UTA 78, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,1	91.5%