NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	96		Excitement	10.0 [59]		MVP	George McCloud (DEN): +73.2%
Denver Nuggets	98		Comeback	4.3 [370]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -13.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.13	0.01	0.12	0.00	5	57%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Erick Strickland	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.11	0.01	10	41%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	16	62%	0.18	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Cedric Ceballos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	22	55%	0.03	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.07

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,-0.05,0.73	0.73	0.11	0.62	0.00	14	68%	0.76	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	37%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	19	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	9	52%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	18	39%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.18,-0.24,-0.3,-0.25,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	16	59%	0.09	4	-0.23	14	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	26.5	15.4	25.3	1.7	32.2	124.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.4%

DEN +0.3%

DEN +27.1%

DAL -19.1%

DEN +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DEN	NBA	DAL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.2	102.1	104.3	101.7
season	14.8	14.8		104.2	101.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		103.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	15.4	16.1	14.5	15.2
DEN	14.0	14.6	15.2	18.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	14	13	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.01	7	-9	16	14.1	15.4	-1.37	14.2	15.6	-1.36
Sean Rooks	7	9	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-4	6	12.9	15.4	-2.57	17.3	15.2	2.13
Gary Trent	53	56	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-2	2	15.6	14.8	0.76	14.8	16.3	-1.57
Cedric Ceballos	53	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-7	12	14.8	15.8	-1.06	16.5	14.1	2.37
Dirk Nowitzki	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	10	-22	15.7	14.0	1.78	15.0	16.5	-1.56
Erick Strickland	48	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	2	-6	15.9	14.6	1.27	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Hubert Davis	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-1	0	14.5	17.0	-2.49	15.9	14.0	1.97
Michael Finley	94	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	15.2	0.0	15.23	15.4	0.0	15.40
Shawn Bradley	66	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	3	-8	15.6	14.4	1.15	15.2	15.9	-0.70

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	51	53	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.45	11	-9	20	14.7	16.2	-1.44	15.4	15.0	0.42
Ron Mercer	77	77	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-7	16	15.7	14.1	1.57	15.5	14.1	1.36
Nick Van Exel	81	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-4	10	15.5	14.5	1.00	15.7	12.2	3.49
George McCloud	58	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-6	14	15.2	15.8	-0.61	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Antonio McDyess	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	3	-4	16.1	12.4	3.73	15.3	14.8	0.56
James Posey	15	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	5	-8	15.3	15.4	-0.16	14.6	15.3	-0.78
Ryan Bowen	21	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	5	-8	16.1	15.2	0.95	16.0	15.0	1.04
Chris Herren	13	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	6	-10	14.5	15.5	-1.00	12.2	15.7	-3.49
Bryant Stith	17	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	9	-16	14.1	15.7	-1.57	14.1	15.5	-1.36
Raef LaFrentz	61	59	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	8	-14	15.1	16.0	-0.96	14.9	15.7	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.75,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 78, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,1	91.1%
BOS 103, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	91.0%
SAS 90, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.55,0.55,0.42,1	90.9%