NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	10.1 [42]		MVP	Oscar Torres (HOU): +29.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	2.9 [395]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -29.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Torres	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.29,0.29	0.04	0.26	0.00	8	65%	0.32	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	21	63%	0.27	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Steve Francis	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	22	52%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.07
Terence Morris	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	2	90%	0.06	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Jason Collier	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Eddie Griffin	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.02	-0.19	0.01	12	42%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.01	0.19	-0.01	10	57%	0.23	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.16	0.00	21	62%	0.30	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.03	0.00	12	79%	0.15	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.07
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.08
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	5	77%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.29	-0.29	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	14	36%	-0.20	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.4	26.4	15.4	24.4	1.6	40.2	131.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.7%

HOU -9.5%

CLE +25.5%

HOU -6.3%

CLE +15.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	15.6	113.5	116.8	102.3
season	16.8	15.8		100.9	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.2	15.5	15.6	13.5	15.4
CLE	13.3	13.9	15.7	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Griffin	45	45	0.32	-0.82	1.15	-0.06	13	-15	28	15.7	15.2	0.45	15.1	14.4	0.69
Jason Collier	29	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-5	8	15.3	15.5	-0.22	13.8	15.2	-1.35
Dan Langhi	37	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	1	-4	15.8	15.2	0.67	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Oscar Torres	49	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-11	20	14.8	16.0	-1.21	15.5	14.0	1.55
Moochie Norris	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-6	10	14.2	16.8	-2.56	14.9	14.5	0.40
Terence Morris	40	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	9	-20	16.4	14.7	1.71	14.4	14.9	-0.54
Cuttino Mobley	88	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	15.2	17.7	-2.53	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Steve Francis	91	89	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	3	-8	15.4	15.6	-0.18	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Kelvin Cato	51	50	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.35	-18	16	-34	16.4	14.4	2.02	14.7	14.7	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	88	89	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.42	7	-5	12	14.6	16.3	-1.68	15.5	14.9	0.61
Jumaine Jones	67	67	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	14.1	16.3	-2.21	16.1	13.9	2.24
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	35	36	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	0	2	14.7	14.7	0.03	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Andre Miller	89	91	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	0	2	14.6	16.5	-1.89	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Ricky Davis	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	4	-6	14.9	14.5	0.35	14.5	17.1	-2.57
Lamond Murray	59	59	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.42	-2	4	-6	15.2	14.0	1.12	15.7	15.1	0.61
Chris Mihm	40	40	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	0	2	14.2	15.1	-0.91	15.5	15.3	0.21
Bimbo Coles	6	5	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	2	-2	16.5	14.6	1.89	15.6	15.4	0.18
Brian Skinner	30	31	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.42	-5	7	-12	16.1	14.1	2.06	15.2	15.5	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.84,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 86, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.73,1	92.2%
PHX 116, NOP 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.58,1	92.0%
ATL 88, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.58,1	91.7%