NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	86		Excitement	7.7 [305]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (GSW): +39.8%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	1.2 [1000]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -26.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	9	64%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.04	16	56%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Alan Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	46%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.04
Mirza Teletovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	7	27%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	41%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,-0.12,-0.27	-0.10	-0.18	-0.01	16	42%	-0.07	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.13	0.20	-0.07	13	79%	0.44	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.07
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	13	65%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	4	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	0.00	16	43%	0.06	0	0.00	10	80%	0.07
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	10	27%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	10	30%	-0.11	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	29.6	15.5	25.4	2.5	34.5	136.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +33.1%

GSW +7.0%

BKN -10.4%

GSW +21.0%

BKN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	GSW	NBA	BKN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.1	93.5	97.9	105.2
season	15.7	14.2		105.1	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		102.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.3	15.7	17.7	17.9	16.2
GSW	12.9	13.8	15.9	16.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	30	32	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.07	11	-18	29	15.9	16.4	-0.52	15.1	14.4	0.68
Mirza Teletovic	46	50	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	16.2	16.2	-0.04	15.5	13.6	1.88
Andray Blatche	54	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.35	10	-17	27	16.6	15.7	0.82	14.9	14.2	0.64
Shaun Livingston	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	1	-9	14.7	16.8	-2.13	12.5	15.4	-2.91
Andrei Kirilenko	59	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.45	8	-15	23	16.8	15.1	1.71	15.0	13.8	1.26
Kevin Garnett	38	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	10	-27	15.7	16.6	-0.82	14.2	14.9	-0.64
Deron Williams	76	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.25	-12	5	-17	15.9	17.7	-1.86	14.7	14.4	0.24
Paul Pierce	65	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.23	-14	7	-21	16.7	15.0	1.67	14.3	15.5	-1.21
Joe Johnson	66	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.22	-15	8	-23	16.3	15.9	0.41	14.4	15.0	-0.52

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	61	59	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.18	19	-12	31	14.1	15.5	-1.43	16.2	16.2	0.01
Draymond Green	75	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-7	21	14.5	14.8	-0.30	16.2	16.4	-0.30
Jermaine O'Neal	66	65	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-5	17	14.6	14.7	-0.11	16.5	15.4	1.09
Andre Iguodala	86	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-1	9	14.7	13.6	1.17	16.4	14.0	2.40
Stephen Curry	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-5	17	14.5	14.8	-0.27	16.2	16.3	-0.17
Marreese Speights	15	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	9	-11	13.3	14.9	-1.60	16.7	16.1	0.62
Harrison Barnes	42	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.25	-12	19	-31	15.0	14.3	0.61	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Steve Blake	32	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	14	-21	15.3	14.3	1.06	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Jordan Crawford	36	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	16	-25	15.1	14.3	0.81	16.3	16.2	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.84,0.85,0.58,1	92.2%
POR 98, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.85,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	91.6%
PHX 116, NOP 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.58,1	91.6%