NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	4.4 [917]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +13.1%
Toronto Raptors	72		Comeback	1.0 [579]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -18.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	13	70%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	63%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	14	62%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	14%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	3	20%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.03	13	37%	-0.07	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	16	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	14	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.22	-0.02	-0.05	15	19%	-0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.4	26.3	15.8	22.2	2.6	26.2	123.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +40.2%

TOR -3.4%

NJN +4.0%

NJN +7.9%

NJN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	18.3	15.7	102.2	80.9	100.5
season	15.3	16.8		98.1	94.8
opponent	15.7	16.2		98.4	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.9	12.8	14.0	16.9	14.1
TOR	17.6	17.2	21.2	17.4	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	73	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	-7	33	13.0	18.8	-5.77	18.6	16.4	2.28
Kerry Kittles	63	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	-3	25	12.6	17.6	-5.00	18.8	16.7	2.10
Jason Kidd	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-1	21	13.3	16.5	-3.28	18.5	17.8	0.67
Jason Collins	54	53	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	6	7	13.8	14.5	-0.67	19.1	17.1	2.06
Kenyon Martin	49	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	3	13	12.8	15.6	-2.76	17.8	18.9	-1.07
Rodney Rogers	51	48	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	20	-21	15.5	12.2	3.26	18.1	18.4	-0.29
Lucious Harris	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	18	-17	16.6	12.9	3.64	17.9	18.5	-0.57
Aaron Williams	31	33	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.20	9	10	-1	13.5	14.4	-0.91	17.3	18.9	-1.60
Zoran Planinic	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	21	-23	14.8	13.9	0.87	15.6	18.8	-3.22
Hubert Davis	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	22.2	13.7	8.56	14.7	18.4	-3.74
Brandon Armstrong	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	27.2	13.3	13.90	19.0	18.2	0.75
Brian Scalabrine	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	27.2	13.3	13.90	19.0	18.2	0.75

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	18.4	18.3	0.13	26.0	13.2	12.78
Jerome Moiso	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	18.4	18.3	0.13	26.0	13.2	12.78
Michael Bradley	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-21	23	17.9	18.4	-0.42	14.5	14.0	0.53
Roger Mason Jr.	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-18	17	16.9	18.4	-1.54	20.4	13.5	6.92
Robert Archibald	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-18	17	14.3	19.0	-4.74	13.6	14.2	-0.54
Lamond Murray	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	-10	1	20.5	17.9	2.56	11.9	14.4	-2.48
Michael Curry	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-9	-1	17.2	19.2	-2.01	13.3	14.7	-1.42
Milt Palacio	64	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-9	-1	18.3	18.3	-0.05	14.2	13.8	0.33
Alvin Williams	67	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	-2	-15	18.4	17.9	0.55	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Chris Bosh	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.24	-22	3	-25	19.1	16.0	3.02	13.1	16.8	-3.65
Donyell Marshall	70	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	4	-27	18.4	17.8	0.62	12.9	18.2	-5.32
Morris Peterson	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	-9	-1	18.5	16.6	1.96	14.3	12.6	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
WAS 101, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.14,0.25,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
HOU 92, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%