inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 111 Excitement4.4 [967] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +21.0%
Dallas Mavericks 86 Comeback1.0 [1154] LVPO.J. Mayo (DAL): -11.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.100.08-0.021267%0.221-0.016100%0.03
Boris Diaw0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.05-0.01671%0.1300.00250%-0.01
Stephen Jackson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.000.03389%0.0600.003100%0.02
Danny Green0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.040,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.01-0.03954%0.083-0.04683%0.01
Tony Parker0.010,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011760%0.074-0.061100%0.00
Tim Duncan0.010,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.041456%0.041-0.034100%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01550%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Patty Mills-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.000.000.04642%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.02-0.011164%0.1100.0000%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.021250%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.011369%0.123-0.0700%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.02-0.021154%0.082-0.032100%0.01
Dahntay Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dominique Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.06714%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02420%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01940%-0.051-0.012100%0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.000.02643%-0.032-0.042100%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.041429%-0.082-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.328.516.421.31.830.2123.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +39.1%
SAS +11.3%
DAL -6.9%
SAS +4.5%
SAS +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game15.614.015.4116.886.0104.1
season15.214.5106.4104.3
opponent15.615.1105.099.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.815.918.313.815.6
DAL12.514.215.314.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan56580.490.010.48-0.212412315.415.8-0.3214.812.91.89
Tony Parker65680.420.080.35-0.101871116.114.41.7714.014.00.05
Manu Ginobili47520.420.080.340.041312116.914.32.5213.214.8-1.56
Danny Green55570.380.120.26-0.181961314.417.2-2.7614.413.40.98
Kawhi Leonard58590.290.210.08-0.121411314.916.7-1.8014.313.60.66
Stephen Jackson52550.170.33-0.15-0.181213-115.915.10.8013.514.6-1.09
Boris Diaw36380.130.37-0.250.16-126-2717.014.72.3312.614.9-2.25
Tiago Splitter57620.120.38-0.260.03322-1915.016.5-1.4912.915.8-2.93
Patty Mills30320.080.42-0.35-0.13718-1114.416.1-1.7714.014.0-0.05
Matt Bonner660.000.50-0.50-0.15520-1516.315.50.8119.813.66.21
Nando De Colo660.000.50-0.50-0.15520-1516.315.50.8119.813.66.21
DeJuan Blair770.000.50-0.50-0.18619-1316.415.50.9218.613.74.92

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae Crowder31310.09-0.590.680.061-262712.714.6-1.8716.815.01.77
Dahntay Jones660.00-0.500.500.15-5-201519.813.66.2116.315.50.81
Dominique Jones660.00-0.500.500.15-5-201519.813.66.2116.315.50.81
Brandan Wright660.00-0.500.500.15-5-201519.813.66.2116.315.50.81
Chris Kaman4341-0.06-0.440.390.09-5-201514.413.70.6915.815.40.40
Chris Douglas-Roberts3631-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-221913.214.4-1.2216.515.11.44
Rodrigue Beaubois3431-0.23-0.270.040.21-15-10-515.313.31.9616.515.21.30
Shawn Marion5551-0.24-0.260.010.20-15-10-514.513.41.0114.516.8-2.22
Darren Collison6967-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-12-13113.415.3-1.8715.316.3-1.05
Dirk Nowitzki4544-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.10-6-191312.815.0-2.1817.014.42.65
O.J. Mayo6563-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-12-13113.714.6-0.8814.916.9-1.95
Elton Brand5148-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.00-15-10-513.015.1-2.0815.315.9-0.58
Vince Carter5350-0.590.09-0.690.23-283-3114.813.11.7314.616.7-2.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 91, TOR 720.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
UTA 96, MIN 800.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
PHX 114, NJN 860.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%