NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	3.4 [1083]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +21.3%
Orlando Magic	110		Comeback	1.2 [1038]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (CHI): -13.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jay Williams	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	10	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	11	62%	0.05	7	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Lonny Baxter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	12	52%	0.05	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Eddy Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	10	57%	-0.03	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.04	-0.01	32	62%	0.21	1	-0.00	20	80%	0.03
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	13	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.05	16	65%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.03	3	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	9	22%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	5	31%	-0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.5	33.2	16.8	31.0	2.4	24.7	139.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +24.5%

ORL +8.1%

ORL +4.7%

ORL +12.5%

ORL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	13.7	13.6	15.5	91.4	103.8	101.6
season	15.0	14.6		98.3	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.1		103.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.0	15.3	13.3	13.3	13.7
ORL	14.2	11.9	12.0	16.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	13.3	13.8	-0.43	12.7	13.6	-0.90
Jamal Crawford	38	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-18	22	14.4	13.4	1.06	14.8	12.9	1.92
Donyell Marshall	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-12	10	14.5	13.3	1.15	14.1	13.3	0.78
Fred Hoiberg	23	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-9	4	11.4	14.4	-3.01	12.6	13.8	-1.27
Trenton Hassell	54	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-18	22	12.8	14.7	-1.87	13.9	13.1	0.83
Eddy Curry	52	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-15	16	12.7	14.8	-2.12	14.0	13.1	0.91
Eddie Robinson	51	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	4	-22	14.7	12.8	1.87	13.1	13.9	-0.83
Tyson Chandler	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-1	-12	13.8	13.6	0.15	13.3	14.2	-0.94
Lonny Baxter	46	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	0	-14	14.3	13.3	0.96	13.0	13.9	-0.89
Jalen Rose	76	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	14.5	11.8	2.69	13.9	12.6	1.33
Jay Williams	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	4	-22	13.4	14.4	-1.06	12.9	14.8	-1.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	96	96	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	1	12	13.4	14.8	-1.37	13.7	14.3	-0.65
Tracy McGrady	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-6	26	12.8	15.2	-2.43	13.7	13.9	-0.23
Drew Gooden	73	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-1	16	13.3	14.1	-0.73	14.0	13.1	0.95
Jacque Vaughn	78	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	2	10	13.5	13.8	-0.31	14.2	12.4	1.79
Andrew DeClercq	27	28	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	2	10	12.8	13.8	-1.00	14.7	13.4	1.37
Steven Hunter	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	4	6	12.7	14.2	-1.52	13.0	14.3	-1.32
Darrell Armstrong	61	60	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	18	-22	14.4	12.4	2.09	13.2	14.5	-1.27
Pat Garrity	41	39	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	12	-10	14.5	12.9	1.60	14.2	13.5	0.78
Olumide Oyedeji	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	11.3	13.7	-2.36	11.6	13.8	-2.25
Pat Burke	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	11.3	13.7	-2.36	11.6	13.8	-2.25
Shawn Kemp	25	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	20	-26	16.8	12.6	4.24	13.4	13.8	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NJN 85, OKC 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIA 84, CLE 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%