NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	3.1 [1152]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (OKC): +6.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Comeback	1.2 [792]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -12.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	6	79%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.07	13	64%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	40%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	17	28%	-0.09	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.12	8	33%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	4	25%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	65%	0.06	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	13	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	10	57%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.05	4	-0.05	6	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	29.4	15.6	26.3	2.5	38.4	138.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +22.4%

OKC +17.5%

OKC +13.6%

NJN -3.3%

NJN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	OKC	NBA	NJN	OKC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	15.5	88.5	95.9	106.4
season	16.0	14.9		106.5	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.9	14.4	18.7	11.8	15.0
OKC	16.1	13.9	13.4	15.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Ager	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-20	31	8.9	16.1	-7.20	11.4	15.3	-3.88
Chris Douglas-Roberts	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.62	21	-30	51	9.3	16.5	-7.21	13.9	14.9	-1.05
Trenton Hassell	28	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.56	19	-28	47	11.5	16.4	-4.91	15.4	14.4	0.99
Josh Boone	33	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-2	-5	15.7	14.6	1.09	15.0	14.5	0.44
Ryan Anderson	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-10	11	14.0	15.9	-1.82	13.3	15.9	-2.60
Keyon Dooling	40	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	3	-15	15.4	14.7	0.71	16.2	13.7	2.49
Eduardo Najera	35	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.29	-18	9	-27	16.3	14.3	1.96	14.2	15.0	-0.77
Jarvis Hayes	37	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-6	3	14.9	15.1	-0.24	17.7	13.0	4.72
Vince Carter	50	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	9	-27	16.7	13.2	3.48	13.7	15.8	-2.11
Bobby Simmons	56	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	3	-15	16.8	12.5	4.35	15.2	14.0	1.16
Brook Lopez	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-7	5	14.6	15.7	-1.09	14.5	15.0	-0.44
Devin Harris	59	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.28	-25	16	-41	16.7	12.3	4.46	14.5	15.1	-0.60

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	54	52	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.21	23	-14	37	13.7	15.9	-2.27	16.5	13.3	3.21
Desmond Mason	54	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.33	25	-16	41	14.1	15.4	-1.23	17.1	12.5	4.57
Kevin Durant	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.36	26	-17	43	14.2	16.2	-2.07	16.4	10.6	5.79
Nick Collison	48	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.30	23	-14	37	14.3	15.1	-0.77	16.9	13.3	3.57
Russell Westbrook	48	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.19	19	-10	29	13.6	15.7	-2.12	16.9	13.3	3.58
Chris Wilcox	50	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.43	-10	19	-29	15.8	13.5	2.24	13.2	17.0	-3.74
Nenad Krstic	33	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	10	-11	16.4	13.8	2.58	15.3	14.9	0.39
Kyle Weaver	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.62	-17	26	-43	16.5	13.5	3.01	13.3	16.1	-2.83
Earl Watson	52	53	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.43	-11	20	-31	15.8	13.4	2.48	13.0	17.4	-4.40
Chucky Atkins	17	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	22	-35	12.5	15.1	-2.68	8.7	16.2	-7.44
Damien Wilkins	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.56	-19	28	-47	14.2	14.8	-0.65	9.6	16.5	-6.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, POR 120	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 96, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
WAS 89, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%