NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	3.0 [1183]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +15.6%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	1.2 [1239]		LVP	Al Thornton (WAS): -8.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	83%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Randy Foye	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	19	52%	0.00	4	-0.06	8	75%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Al Thornton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	9	20%	-0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.20	0.02	0.06	12	74%	0.16	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	7	88%	0.07	2	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	11	36%	0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	87%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	14	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	25%	0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	33%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	7	22%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.5	29.5	15.6	33.1	2.5	31.3	138.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.4%

WAS -0.3%

WAS -12.7%

UTA +9.5%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	13.4	15.3	93.7	117.9	106.0
season	15.7	15.3		102.6	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.0	18.6	17.7	14.4	16.9
UTA	13.0	14.8	11.1	15.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	5	6	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-26	29	22.6	16.6	6.02	10.2	13.6	-3.47
Alonzo Gee	31	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-30	37	14.5	18.1	-3.63	14.2	13.0	1.16
Nick Young	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-18	13	14.7	17.7	-2.95	13.7	13.3	0.32
Fabricio Oberto	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.20	-8	-15	7	16.1	17.1	-0.97	11.6	13.8	-2.23
Earl Boykins	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-18	13	15.6	17.2	-1.52	13.7	13.4	0.40
James Singleton	62	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-20	17	15.4	19.8	-4.39	13.8	12.7	1.16
Al Thornton	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.25	-17	-6	-11	18.1	15.6	2.54	12.1	14.9	-2.81
JaVale McGee	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-5	-13	18.0	15.7	2.28	13.6	13.2	0.41
Randy Foye	50	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-9	-5	16.3	17.6	-1.26	14.0	12.8	1.17
Shaun Livingston	43	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-7	-9	18.2	15.8	2.32	13.9	13.0	0.87
Andray Blatche	62	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-6	-11	17.8	15.2	2.53	13.4	13.5	-0.12
Mike Miller	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.19	-22	-1	-21	17.5	15.6	1.84	13.5	13.4	0.10

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.43	30	-7	37	13.5	13.3	0.19	18.0	13.8	4.15
Deron Williams	59	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.33	23	0	23	12.5	14.9	-2.32	17.4	16.1	1.26
Carlos Boozer	53	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.36	24	-1	25	12.7	14.4	-1.68	17.8	15.7	2.13
Mehmet Okur	46	44	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.42	26	-3	29	13.1	13.7	-0.56	19.1	15.0	4.13
Wesley Matthews	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	6	11	12.9	14.7	-1.83	16.0	18.9	-2.88
Paul Millsap	54	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	24	-25	13.6	13.1	0.53	16.4	17.7	-1.27
Kyle Korver	46	47	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	15	-7	14.0	12.9	1.04	17.4	16.4	1.05
Sundiata Gaines	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	23	-23	14.9	12.5	2.32	16.1	17.4	-1.26
Kyrylo Fesenko	32	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	29	-35	14.5	12.9	1.63	14.0	18.3	-4.34
Othyus Jeffers	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	29	-35	14.5	13.2	1.29	11.1	17.7	-6.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 117, DAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 63, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
ORL 67, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%