NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	3.5 [1102]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +13.9%
Dallas Mavericks	127		Comeback	1.1 [1157]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -6.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	9	71%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.05	17	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.00	0.07	13	64%	0.00	3	-0.06	10	90%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	11	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	9	36%	-0.03	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	19	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	22	66%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	13	74%	0.12	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	11	73%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	13	53%	0.03	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	18	56%	0.03	3	-0.03	12	83%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	3.4	28.9	19.0	28.5	2.7	31.5	139.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.1%

SAC -0.2%

DAL +6.3%

DAL +11.3%

DAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.3	15.7	114.7	122.1	100.5
season	14.7	14.6		106.9	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.1	14.4	13.2	11.7	13.6
DAL	13.2	13.3	13.4	17.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-9	8	11.0	13.6	-2.64	16.0	14.3	1.68
Rodney Buford	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-9	8	11.0	13.6	-2.64	16.0	14.3	1.68
Vlade Divac	38	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-3	-4	13.9	13.5	0.40	13.1	15.0	-1.91
Gerald Wallace	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-4	-2	15.0	13.4	1.62	13.3	14.5	-1.25
Darius Songaila	57	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-17	24	13.5	13.8	-0.25	15.6	12.7	2.91
Anthony Peeler	47	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-7	4	12.9	14.2	-1.30	15.4	13.4	2.03
Chris Webber	91	92	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	13.1	17.5	-4.40	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Mike Bibby	91	92	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	13.1	17.5	-4.40	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Doug Christie	80	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	8	-26	14.6	10.1	4.44	13.8	16.2	-2.34
Peja Stojakovic	89	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	-1	-8	13.9	11.8	2.12	14.3	14.8	-0.49

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	82	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-3	16	14.1	15.3	-1.19	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Steve Nash	87	83	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	-1	12	14.3	14.7	-0.44	13.8	12.6	1.21
Michael Finley	91	88	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	4	2	14.4	14.1	0.30	13.8	12.5	1.30
Eduardo Najera	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-1	12	14.3	14.3	0.01	15.1	12.8	2.29
Antawn Jamison	50	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	6	-2	14.4	14.3	0.12	14.0	13.3	0.64
Dirk Nowitzki	87	87	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	9	-8	14.5	13.6	0.82	13.2	16.1	-2.87
Antoine Walker	50	50	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	8	-6	13.4	15.2	-1.73	12.8	14.4	-1.60
Josh Howard	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	5	0	14.5	14.3	0.15	13.4	13.7	-0.27
Shawn Bradley	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	13	-16	18.2	13.8	4.45	12.9	13.7	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 69, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
SAS 98, NOP 122	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 84, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%