inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 69 Excitement2.9 [1146] MVPTerry Porter (SAS): +10.2%
San Antonio Spurs 86 Comeback1.0 [909] LVPTerrell Brandon (MIN): -12.4%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Felipe Lopez0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.00-0.05753%0.032-0.001100%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.05433%0.021-0.011100%0.00
William Avery0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05570%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.021353%0.022-0.028100%0.04
Rasho Nesterovic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05333%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Sam Mitchell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Reggie Slater-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.010.000.051062%0.002-0.04475%0.01
Wally Szczerbiak-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.01-0.03731%-0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Dean Garrett-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01312%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Anthony Peeler-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.01-0.03812%-0.082-0.0300%0.00
Terrell Brandon-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.00937%-0.024-0.101100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.000.034130%0.121-0.022100%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.02760%0.041-0.001100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.02-0.051845%0.041-0.01450%-0.02
Sean Elliott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.00-0.06831%0.0300.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.02250%0.0300.0000%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00-0.02867%0.072-0.04850%-0.01
Shawnelle Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02540%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05517%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01437%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.021443%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.31.834.219.827.12.827.0140.0
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +41.3%
MIN -5.1%
MIN -1.8%
SAS +15.4%
SAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINSASNBAMINSASNBA
this game15.617.915.580.2100.0100.9
season15.015.9102.9103.4
opponent15.515.996.5101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.816.316.014.115.6
SAS16.217.219.219.217.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic20190.01-0.510.53-0.135-222713.716.1-2.3718.217.80.37
William Avery1515-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-253314.715.8-1.0920.717.33.41
Reggie Slater1516-0.04-0.460.42-0.195-222714.915.7-0.8518.717.71.02
Chauncey Billups2728-0.07-0.430.360.08-5-12714.116.2-2.1318.617.61.07
Felipe Lopez3030-0.09-0.410.31-0.07-1-161515.515.6-0.1618.217.70.48
Sam Mitchell3436-0.10-0.400.30-0.224-212515.115.8-0.7019.117.12.05
LaPhonso Ellis5252-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-13915.515.7-0.1819.615.34.34
Dean Garrett2725-0.37-0.13-0.250.18-192-2116.315.31.0115.518.9-3.44
Wally Szczerbiak5250-0.40-0.10-0.300.22-214-2515.815.10.7017.119.1-2.05
Anthony Peeler5656-0.41-0.09-0.310.06-16-1-1515.615.50.1617.718.2-0.48
Kevin Garnett5860-0.43-0.07-0.350.19-214-2516.114.41.6917.119.7-2.60
Terrell Brandon4443-0.43-0.07-0.360.16-203-2316.814.32.4616.519.4-2.91

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson54550.490.010.48-0.3930-134317.718.2-0.5316.913.33.56
Tim Duncan67650.470.030.45-0.3528-113917.619.2-1.6615.715.10.56
Derek Anderson53540.430.070.35-0.2222-52716.919.5-2.5915.914.91.01
Danny Ferry46460.410.090.33-0.2924-73116.919.1-2.2615.715.50.18
Terry Porter38370.340.160.17-0.2520-32317.218.5-1.2715.415.7-0.34
Avery Johnson35360.160.34-0.17-0.01611-517.718.1-0.3416.215.11.03
Sean Elliott36350.090.41-0.330.26-623-2919.716.73.0115.915.40.48
Antonio Daniels33320.070.43-0.350.22-522-2719.516.92.5914.915.9-1.01
Malik Rose26270.020.48-0.450.38-1229-4118.317.70.5614.316.2-1.91
Samaki Walker24250.010.49-0.480.36-1229-4118.817.61.2713.816.3-2.50
Shawnelle Scott550.000.50-0.500.03-118-1915.618.1-2.4612.815.7-2.94
Steve Kerr13130.000.50-0.500.26-926-3520.517.53.0914.515.8-1.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 86, POR 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
SAC 117, DAL 1270.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,197.3%
CLE 84, SAC 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%