NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	63		Excitement	3.0 [1186]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +3.6%
Houston Rockets	81		Comeback	1.1 [1079]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -14.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
David Wesley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	5	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	31%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Damon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	12	35%	-0.05	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.02	0.04	22	41%	-0.11	3	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.12	0.02	-0.10	23	44%	0.07	6	-0.07	9	89%	0.04
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	6	25%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.6	29.1	15.7	24.2	2.6	27.5	130.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.8%

HOU +9.8%

HOU +9.2%

CLE -0.6%

CLE -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	17.2	16.3	15.4	73.3	94.2	104.5
season	16.0	15.6		103.2	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.6		99.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.3	18.7	17.3	16.6	17.2
HOU	15.0	15.6	17.0	17.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	21	22	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-17	16	16.7	17.4	-0.67	17.3	15.9	1.41
Scot Pollard	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-17	16	12.7	17.6	-4.90	17.7	16.2	1.50
Anderson Varejao	42	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-22	26	15.9	18.5	-2.53	15.3	17.1	-1.82
Donyell Marshall	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-15	12	17.6	17.0	0.62	14.7	17.4	-2.61
David Wesley	4	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-14	10	18.5	17.2	1.34	11.5	16.5	-5.00
Daniel Gibson	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-22	26	16.6	17.6	-1.00	16.8	15.9	0.97
Damon Jones	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-9	0	18.1	16.4	1.76	16.0	16.5	-0.48
Shannon Brown	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-13	8	16.1	18.2	-2.00	17.0	15.6	1.37
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	-8	-2	18.0	16.0	1.99	16.8	15.3	1.52
Eric Snow	49	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.33	-26	8	-34	18.4	15.6	2.81	15.8	16.9	-1.10
Drew Gooden	34	35	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	8	-34	18.1	16.7	1.39	17.8	15.2	2.63
LeBron James	66	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	-5	-8	16.8	18.6	-1.80	16.0	17.2	-1.28

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	48	49	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.04	19	-1	20	15.6	17.1	-1.55	17.2	17.3	-0.13
Shane Battier	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	7	4	16.6	14.6	2.02	16.6	19.9	-3.29
Rafer Alston	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.22	21	-3	24	16.0	17.4	-1.35	17.3	16.8	0.50
Vassilis Spanoulis	31	32	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	14	-10	15.6	16.6	-1.02	17.2	17.3	-0.10
Yao Ming	62	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	9	0	16.3	16.1	0.20	17.4	16.9	0.48
Tracy McGrady	19	20	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	10	-2	15.5	16.5	-0.95	17.6	17.1	0.49
Luther Head	58	56	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.17	10	8	2	16.8	15.2	1.61	17.8	16.1	1.72
Dikembe Mutombo	18	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.17	9	9	0	16.4	16.2	0.15	18.4	16.8	1.60
Juwan Howard	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	17	-16	16.7	15.8	0.87	16.9	17.6	-0.70
John Lucas III	8	8	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	16	-14	14.9	16.4	-1.54	18.5	17.1	1.41
Scott Padgett	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	20.5	16.2	4.33	9.5	17.4	-7.90
Steve Novak	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	20.5	16.2	4.33	9.5	17.4	-7.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 67, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
UTA 85, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 93, CLE 128	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%